Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and global ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Busan highs of 22–24°C on May 8 under persistent clear skies and light southwest winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 23°C (22.5% implied probability) narrowly leading 24°C (21.5%) and 22°C (19%). Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads in peak afternoon solar insolation versus coastal sea breeze moderation and minor diurnal cloud development, yielding a 1–2°C uncertainty range typical for spring forecasts two days out. This aligns with early May climatology averaging 21–23°C highs; daily KMA updates and new model runs expected by May 7 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official observations at Gimhae Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 8?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 8?
23°C 33%
24°C 16%
22°C 15%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
33%
24°C
23%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 33%
24°C 16%
22°C 15%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
16°C or below
$530 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$184 Vol.
1%
19°C
$19 Vol.
1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
3%
21°C
$14 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$10 Vol.
33%
24°C
$5 Vol.
23%
25°C
$20 Vol.
7%
26°C or higher
$28 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and global ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Busan highs of 22–24°C on May 8 under persistent clear skies and light southwest winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 23°C (22.5% implied probability) narrowly leading 24°C (21.5%) and 22°C (19%). Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads in peak afternoon solar insolation versus coastal sea breeze moderation and minor diurnal cloud development, yielding a 1–2°C uncertainty range typical for spring forecasts two days out. This aligns with early May climatology averaging 21–23°C highs; daily KMA updates and new model runs expected by May 7 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official observations at Gimhae Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$1,295End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and global ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Busan highs of 22–24°C on May 8 under persistent clear skies and light southwest winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 23°C (22.5% implied probability) narrowly leading 24°C (21.5%) and 22°C (19%). Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads in peak afternoon solar insolation versus coastal sea breeze moderation and minor diurnal cloud development, yielding a 1–2°C uncertainty range typical for spring forecasts two days out. This aligns with early May climatology averaging 21–23°C highs; daily KMA updates and new model runs expected by May 7 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official observations at Gimhae Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,295End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and global ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project Busan highs of 22–24°C on May 8 under persistent clear skies and light southwest winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 23°C (22.5% implied probability) narrowly leading 24°C (21.5%) and 22°C (19%). Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads in peak afternoon solar insolation versus coastal sea breeze moderation and minor diurnal cloud development, yielding a 1–2°C uncertainty range typical for spring forecasts two days out. This aligns with early May climatology averaging 21–23°C highs; daily KMA updates and new model runs expected by May 7 could sharpen resolution criteria based on official observations at Gimhae Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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