Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a consensus high temperature of 16-17°C in Buenos Aires on May 2, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent shift in upper-level patterns, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing cooler mid-latitude air masses and moderate southerly winds to suppress daytime heating, following warmer-than-average late April conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover timing and sea breeze intensification, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies pushing toward 18°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance aligns with this range, amid typical early autumn variability; new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook. Historical May 2 highs average 17°C, with model uncertainty of ±2°C common at this lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
17°C 34%
16°C 32%
18°C 21%
15°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
32%
17°C
34%
18°C
21%
19°C
5%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 34%
16°C 32%
18°C 21%
15°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$717 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,272 Vol.
1%
14°C
$280 Vol.
5%
15°C
$229 Vol.
9%
16°C
$527 Vol.
32%
17°C
$375 Vol.
34%
18°C
$228 Vol.
21%
19°C
$924 Vol.
5%
20°C or higher
$1,385 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a consensus high temperature of 16-17°C in Buenos Aires on May 2, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent shift in upper-level patterns, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing cooler mid-latitude air masses and moderate southerly winds to suppress daytime heating, following warmer-than-average late April conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover timing and sea breeze intensification, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies pushing toward 18°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance aligns with this range, amid typical early autumn variability; new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook. Historical May 2 highs average 17°C, with model uncertainty of ±2°C common at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$7,629End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a consensus high temperature of 16-17°C in Buenos Aires on May 2, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent shift in upper-level patterns, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing cooler mid-latitude air masses and moderate southerly winds to suppress daytime heating, following warmer-than-average late April conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover timing and sea breeze intensification, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies pushing toward 18°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance aligns with this range, amid typical early autumn variability; new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook. Historical May 2 highs average 17°C, with model uncertainty of ±2°C common at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,629End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a consensus high temperature of 16-17°C in Buenos Aires on May 2, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent shift in upper-level patterns, with a weakening subtropical ridge allowing cooler mid-latitude air masses and moderate southerly winds to suppress daytime heating, following warmer-than-average late April conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover timing and sea breeze intensification, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies pushing toward 18°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance aligns with this range, amid typical early autumn variability; new model runs expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook. Historical May 2 highs average 17°C, with model uncertainty of ±2°C common at this lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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