Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 24°C, primarily at central stations like Aeroparque, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders aligned with verified meteorological data. This result reflects mild autumn conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing heat advection, consistent with ensemble forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF that projected maxima in the 23-25°C range amid low humidity and light southerly winds. While post-resolution revisions from quality-controlled data at peripheral sites like Ezeiza could theoretically challenge this if overlooked peaks emerge, such adjustments are rare for daily maxima, with historical revision rates below 1% per SMN protocols. Traders await final SMN bulletin for closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 30?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 30?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$85,029 Vol.
$85,029 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$85,029 Vol.
$85,029 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
24°C
$10,929 Vol.
100%
25°C
$8,886 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,444 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$6,757 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 24°C, primarily at central stations like Aeroparque, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders aligned with verified meteorological data. This result reflects mild autumn conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing heat advection, consistent with ensemble forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF that projected maxima in the 23-25°C range amid low humidity and light southerly winds. While post-resolution revisions from quality-controlled data at peripheral sites like Ezeiza could theoretically challenge this if overlooked peaks emerge, such adjustments are rare for daily maxima, with historical revision rates below 1% per SMN protocols. Traders await final SMN bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$85,029End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 24°C, primarily at central stations like Aeroparque, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders aligned with verified meteorological data. This result reflects mild autumn conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing heat advection, consistent with ensemble forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF that projected maxima in the 23-25°C range amid low humidity and light southerly winds. While post-resolution revisions from quality-controlled data at peripheral sites like Ezeiza could theoretically challenge this if overlooked peaks emerge, such adjustments are rare for daily maxima, with historical revision rates below 1% per SMN protocols. Traders await final SMN bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,029End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 24°C, primarily at central stations like Aeroparque, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders aligned with verified meteorological data. This result reflects mild autumn conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing heat advection, consistent with ensemble forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF that projected maxima in the 23-25°C range amid low humidity and light southerly winds. While post-resolution revisions from quality-controlled data at peripheral sites like Ezeiza could theoretically challenge this if overlooked peaks emerge, such adjustments are rare for daily maxima, with historical revision rates below 1% per SMN protocols. Traders await final SMN bulletin for closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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