Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 68-77°F outcomes for Austin's May 7 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service consensus forecasts of low-to-mid 70s°F behind an approaching cold front that peaks rain chances Thursday after warmer mid-week conditions. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a 2-3°F spread, driven by uncertainties in frontal timing, morning cloud persistence, and scattered shower coverage, which could cap peaks lower (68-71°F) if overcast or allow slight warming (74-77°F) with partial clearing. Current overcast skies and 60s lows underscore cooling influences, contrasting May climatological averages near 86°F; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on May 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 7?
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
$20,911 Vol.
$20,911 Vol.
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
$20,911 Vol.
$20,911 Vol.
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 68-77°F outcomes for Austin's May 7 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service consensus forecasts of low-to-mid 70s°F behind an approaching cold front that peaks rain chances Thursday after warmer mid-week conditions. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a 2-3°F spread, driven by uncertainties in frontal timing, morning cloud persistence, and scattered shower coverage, which could cap peaks lower (68-71°F) if overcast or allow slight warming (74-77°F) with partial clearing. Current overcast skies and 60s lows underscore cooling influences, contrasting May climatological averages near 86°F; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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