Trader consensus implies virtual certainty (100%) that Ankara's highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 21°C, driven by real-time observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 21°C midday amid westerly winds (10-15 mph) and low relative humidity (around 24%). Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF/GFS show convergence on this range, with northerly steering patterns capping afternoon heating consistent with recent cool April anomalies (e.g., prior days at 16-20°C). Scenarios challenging this include abrupt clearing for late solar insolation pushing to 22°C, but diminishing sun angle and persistent shear render it highly improbable; final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,861 Vol.
$81,861 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,861 Vol.
$81,861 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
21°C
$13,378 Vol.
100%
22°C
$9,353 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,118 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,701 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,913 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus implies virtual certainty (100%) that Ankara's highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 21°C, driven by real-time observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 21°C midday amid westerly winds (10-15 mph) and low relative humidity (around 24%). Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF/GFS show convergence on this range, with northerly steering patterns capping afternoon heating consistent with recent cool April anomalies (e.g., prior days at 16-20°C). Scenarios challenging this include abrupt clearing for late solar insolation pushing to 22°C, but diminishing sun angle and persistent shear render it highly improbable; final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$81,861End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus implies virtual certainty (100%) that Ankara's highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 21°C, driven by real-time observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 21°C midday amid westerly winds (10-15 mph) and low relative humidity (around 24%). Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF/GFS show convergence on this range, with northerly steering patterns capping afternoon heating consistent with recent cool April anomalies (e.g., prior days at 16-20°C). Scenarios challenging this include abrupt clearing for late solar insolation pushing to 22°C, but diminishing sun angle and persistent shear render it highly improbable; final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,861End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies virtual certainty (100%) that Ankara's highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 21°C, driven by real-time observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 21°C midday amid westerly winds (10-15 mph) and low relative humidity (around 24%). Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ensemble forecast models like ECMWF/GFS show convergence on this range, with northerly steering patterns capping afternoon heating consistent with recent cool April anomalies (e.g., prior days at 16-20°C). Scenarios challenging this include abrupt clearing for late solar insolation pushing to 22°C, but diminishing sun angle and persistent shear render it highly improbable; final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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