Official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration at the Taipei station confirm the highest temperature reached 21°C early on April 30, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent drizzle, light rain, and fog—evident in hourly records showing temperatures peaking at 70°F (21°C) before dropping to 64°F (18°C)—severely limited solar insolation and daytime heating, overriding seasonal norms where April highs often exceed 24°C. This atmospheric stability, influenced by a lingering cool air mass, drove the market positioning. Final resolution awaits CWA's daily summary, but a reversal would require an unlikely data correction from unrecorded peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$123,383 Vol.
$123,383 Vol.
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$123,383 Vol.
$123,383 Vol.
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration at the Taipei station confirm the highest temperature reached 21°C early on April 30, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent drizzle, light rain, and fog—evident in hourly records showing temperatures peaking at 70°F (21°C) before dropping to 64°F (18°C)—severely limited solar insolation and daytime heating, overriding seasonal norms where April highs often exceed 24°C. This atmospheric stability, influenced by a lingering cool air mass, drove the market positioning. Final resolution awaits CWA's daily summary, but a reversal would require an unlikely data correction from unrecorded peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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