Trump's Truth Social posting remains highly unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing tight odds across low (<20 at 26%) and high-volume ranges (160-179 and 180-199 at 26%) for May 5-12, reflecting his variable habits amid presidential duties. Recent data shows subdued activity, averaging 8 posts daily last week (58 total April 25-May 1), including a 20-post spike on May 1 tied to Florida travel, endorsements, and tariff announcements—down from 2025's 18-per-day average. This keeps mid-ranges viable but elevates extremes due to historical late-night barrages exceeding 150 posts. Separation could arise from next week's schedule, breaking news on policy or foreign affairs like Iran, or quiet executive time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated20-39 46%
<20 27.8%
160-179 27%
180-199 27%
NEW
NEW
May 12, 2026
<20
28%
20-39
46%
40-59
26%
60-79
26%
80-99
24%
100-119
25%
120-139
25%
140-159
24%
160-179
27%
180-199
27%
200+
25%
20-39 46%
<20 27.8%
160-179 27%
180-199 27%
NEW
NEW
May 12, 2026
<20
$353 Vol.
28%
20-39
$89 Vol.
46%
40-59
$5 Vol.
26%
60-79
$5 Vol.
26%
80-99
$0 Vol.
24%
100-119
$0 Vol.
25%
120-139
$0 Vol.
25%
140-159
$0 Vol.
24%
160-179
$0 Vol.
27%
180-199
$0 Vol.
27%
200+
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social posting remains highly unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing tight odds across low (<20 at 26%) and high-volume ranges (160-179 and 180-199 at 26%) for May 5-12, reflecting his variable habits amid presidential duties. Recent data shows subdued activity, averaging 8 posts daily last week (58 total April 25-May 1), including a 20-post spike on May 1 tied to Florida travel, endorsements, and tariff announcements—down from 2025's 18-per-day average. This keeps mid-ranges viable but elevates extremes due to historical late-night barrages exceeding 150 posts. Separation could arise from next week's schedule, breaking news on policy or foreign affairs like Iran, or quiet executive time.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$453End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social posting remains highly unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing tight odds across low (<20 at 26%) and high-volume ranges (160-179 and 180-199 at 26%) for May 5-12, reflecting his variable habits amid presidential duties. Recent data shows subdued activity, averaging 8 posts daily last week (58 total April 25-May 1), including a 20-post spike on May 1 tied to Florida travel, endorsements, and tariff announcements—down from 2025's 18-per-day average. This keeps mid-ranges viable but elevates extremes due to historical late-night barrages exceeding 150 posts. Separation could arise from next week's schedule, breaking news on policy or foreign affairs like Iran, or quiet executive time.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$453End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social posting remains highly unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing tight odds across low (<20 at 26%) and high-volume ranges (160-179 and 180-199 at 26%) for May 5-12, reflecting his variable habits amid presidential duties. Recent data shows subdued activity, averaging 8 posts daily last week (58 total April 25-May 1), including a 20-post spike on May 1 tied to Florida travel, endorsements, and tariff announcements—down from 2025's 18-per-day average. This keeps mid-ranges viable but elevates extremes due to historical late-night barrages exceeding 150 posts. Separation could arise from next week's schedule, breaking news on policy or foreign affairs like Iran, or quiet executive time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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