President Trump's Truth Social posting pace has slowed in the initial days of the April 28-May 5 window, averaging roughly 7-10 posts per day through April 29 amid a relative lull following last week's 120-139 total during peak Iran tensions, including rescue operations and ceasefire deadline rhetoric. Trader consensus favors 80-99 posts (29.5%) over higher ranges like 100-119 (20%), reflecting the platform's role as a direct channel for real-time foreign policy updates, endorsements, and news cycle responses, with historical averages near 18 daily but variable by weekends and event-driven spikes. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over potential escalations in Iran diplomacy, congressional votes, or executive actions that could surge output; a quiet week favors lower bins, while breaking military or trade developments might push toward 120+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated80-99 30%
100-119 20%
60-79 17.7%
120-139 12%
$99,541 Vol.
$99,541 Vol.
May 5, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
10%
60-79
18%
80-99
30%
100-119
20%
120-139
12%
140-159
6%
160-179
6%
180-199
4%
200+
5%
80-99 30%
100-119 20%
60-79 17.7%
120-139 12%
$99,541 Vol.
$99,541 Vol.
May 5, 2026
<20
$64,476 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$26,095 Vol.
1%
40-59
$2,077 Vol.
10%
60-79
$1,280 Vol.
18%
80-99
$808 Vol.
30%
100-119
$746 Vol.
20%
120-139
$491 Vol.
12%
140-159
$1,093 Vol.
6%
160-179
$716 Vol.
6%
180-199
$471 Vol.
4%
200+
$1,290 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting pace has slowed in the initial days of the April 28-May 5 window, averaging roughly 7-10 posts per day through April 29 amid a relative lull following last week's 120-139 total during peak Iran tensions, including rescue operations and ceasefire deadline rhetoric. Trader consensus favors 80-99 posts (29.5%) over higher ranges like 100-119 (20%), reflecting the platform's role as a direct channel for real-time foreign policy updates, endorsements, and news cycle responses, with historical averages near 18 daily but variable by weekends and event-driven spikes. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over potential escalations in Iran diplomacy, congressional votes, or executive actions that could surge output; a quiet week favors lower bins, while breaking military or trade developments might push toward 120+.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$99,541End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting pace has slowed in the initial days of the April 28-May 5 window, averaging roughly 7-10 posts per day through April 29 amid a relative lull following last week's 120-139 total during peak Iran tensions, including rescue operations and ceasefire deadline rhetoric. Trader consensus favors 80-99 posts (29.5%) over higher ranges like 100-119 (20%), reflecting the platform's role as a direct channel for real-time foreign policy updates, endorsements, and news cycle responses, with historical averages near 18 daily but variable by weekends and event-driven spikes. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over potential escalations in Iran diplomacy, congressional votes, or executive actions that could surge output; a quiet week favors lower bins, while breaking military or trade developments might push toward 120+.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$99,541End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's Truth Social posting pace has slowed in the initial days of the April 28-May 5 window, averaging roughly 7-10 posts per day through April 29 amid a relative lull following last week's 120-139 total during peak Iran tensions, including rescue operations and ceasefire deadline rhetoric. Trader consensus favors 80-99 posts (29.5%) over higher ranges like 100-119 (20%), reflecting the platform's role as a direct channel for real-time foreign policy updates, endorsements, and news cycle responses, with historical averages near 18 daily but variable by weekends and event-driven spikes. The tight race persists due to uncertainty over potential escalations in Iran diplomacy, congressional votes, or executive actions that could surge output; a quiet week favors lower bins, while breaking military or trade developments might push toward 120+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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