Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV requiring congressional approval for new states and unprecedented consent from a sovereign nation via treaty or plebiscite. Following the January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro—now in US custody awaiting narcoterrorism trial—interim leader Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including prisoner amnesties, hydrocarbon reforms enabling US oil firms, and the March embassy reopening, culminating in the first direct Miami-Caracas flight on April 30. President Trump's March quip on statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic win remains rhetorical, with no legislative proposals or transition plans indicating absorption. Scenarios shifting odds would demand a Venezuelan referendum request and supermajority congressional support amid domestic opposition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Venezuela se convertirá en el estado 51?
¿Venezuela se convertirá en el estado 51?
Sí
$138,668 Vol.
$138,668 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$138,668 Vol.
$138,668 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV requiring congressional approval for new states and unprecedented consent from a sovereign nation via treaty or plebiscite. Following the January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro—now in US custody awaiting narcoterrorism trial—interim leader Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including prisoner amnesties, hydrocarbon reforms enabling US oil firms, and the March embassy reopening, culminating in the first direct Miami-Caracas flight on April 30. President Trump's March quip on statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic win remains rhetorical, with no legislative proposals or transition plans indicating absorption. Scenarios shifting odds would demand a Venezuelan referendum request and supermajority congressional support amid domestic opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volumen
$138,668Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV requiring congressional approval for new states and unprecedented consent from a sovereign nation via treaty or plebiscite. Following the January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro—now in US custody awaiting narcoterrorism trial—interim leader Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including prisoner amnesties, hydrocarbon reforms enabling US oil firms, and the March embassy reopening, culminating in the first direct Miami-Caracas flight on April 30. President Trump's March quip on statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic win remains rhetorical, with no legislative proposals or transition plans indicating absorption. Scenarios shifting odds would demand a Venezuelan referendum request and supermajority congressional support amid domestic opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$138,668Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.8% for Venezuela becoming the 51st US state, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV requiring congressional approval for new states and unprecedented consent from a sovereign nation via treaty or plebiscite. Following the January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro—now in US custody awaiting narcoterrorism trial—interim leader Delcy Rodríguez has overseen economic stabilization, including prisoner amnesties, hydrocarbon reforms enabling US oil firms, and the March embassy reopening, culminating in the first direct Miami-Caracas flight on April 30. President Trump's March quip on statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic win remains rhetorical, with no legislative proposals or transition plans indicating absorption. Scenarios shifting odds would demand a Venezuelan referendum request and supermajority congressional support amid domestic opposition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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