Trader consensus favors Neymar missing the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 62.5% implied probability on "No," driven by his chronic injury history and ongoing fitness battles at age 34 with Santos. Despite Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti's mid-April comments that Neymar is progressing post-December 2025 knee surgery and scoring goals, recent setbacks—including a knee procedure during an early April break, missed training sessions, and muscle fatigue sidelining him for key Brasileirão matches—have tempered optimism. Estevão's grade 4 hamstring injury last week opened a potential Seleção wing spot, briefly boosting Yes odds to near 50%, but traders remain wary of Neymar's ability to sustain match fitness through the tournament amid retirement hints and limited consecutive-game stamina.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$600,987 Vol.
$600,987 Vol.
Sí
$600,987 Vol.
$600,987 Vol.
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Neymar missing the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 62.5% implied probability on "No," driven by his chronic injury history and ongoing fitness battles at age 34 with Santos. Despite Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti's mid-April comments that Neymar is progressing post-December 2025 knee surgery and scoring goals, recent setbacks—including a knee procedure during an early April break, missed training sessions, and muscle fatigue sidelining him for key Brasileirão matches—have tempered optimism. Estevão's grade 4 hamstring injury last week opened a potential Seleção wing spot, briefly boosting Yes odds to near 50%, but traders remain wary of Neymar's ability to sustain match fitness through the tournament amid retirement hints and limited consecutive-game stamina.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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