A citizen-led petition by Stay Free Alberta, claiming over 177,732 signatures by late March to force an independence referendum, faces significant legal setbacks, including a judge's April 10 order pausing validation amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights and procedural issues. Premier Danielle Smith's official October 19 referendum instead targets immigration caps, social services restrictions, and enhanced provincial sovereignty, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls indicate minority support for independence—around 29%—at a five-year high but insufficient for passage, compounded by constitutional barriers under Canadian law. Traders' 86.6% "No" consensus reflects stalled petition progress, judicial uncertainties, and weak public momentum ahead of potential court rulings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$63,005 Vol.
$63,005 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$63,005 Vol.
$63,005 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A citizen-led petition by Stay Free Alberta, claiming over 177,732 signatures by late March to force an independence referendum, faces significant legal setbacks, including a judge's April 10 order pausing validation amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights and procedural issues. Premier Danielle Smith's official October 19 referendum instead targets immigration caps, social services restrictions, and enhanced provincial sovereignty, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls indicate minority support for independence—around 29%—at a five-year high but insufficient for passage, compounded by constitutional barriers under Canadian law. Traders' 86.6% "No" consensus reflects stalled petition progress, judicial uncertainties, and weak public momentum ahead of potential court rulings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volumen
$63,005Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A citizen-led petition by Stay Free Alberta, claiming over 177,732 signatures by late March to force an independence referendum, faces significant legal setbacks, including a judge's April 10 order pausing validation amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights and procedural issues. Premier Danielle Smith's official October 19 referendum instead targets immigration caps, social services restrictions, and enhanced provincial sovereignty, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls indicate minority support for independence—around 29%—at a five-year high but insufficient for passage, compounded by constitutional barriers under Canadian law. Traders' 86.6% "No" consensus reflects stalled petition progress, judicial uncertainties, and weak public momentum ahead of potential court rulings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$63,005Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A citizen-led petition by Stay Free Alberta, claiming over 177,732 signatures by late March to force an independence referendum, faces significant legal setbacks, including a judge's April 10 order pausing validation amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights and procedural issues. Premier Danielle Smith's official October 19 referendum instead targets immigration caps, social services restrictions, and enhanced provincial sovereignty, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls indicate minority support for independence—around 29%—at a five-year high but insufficient for passage, compounded by constitutional barriers under Canadian law. Traders' 86.6% "No" consensus reflects stalled petition progress, judicial uncertainties, and weak public momentum ahead of potential court rulings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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