Skip to main content
icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17
Política·Elecciones Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17
Política·Elecciones Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17

Cait Conley 48%

Beth Davidson 37%

Effie Phillips-Staley 8.9%

Peter Chatzky 1.6%

Polymarket

$58,816 Vol.

Cait Conley 48%

Beth Davidson 37%

Effie Phillips-Staley 8.9%

Peter Chatzky 1.6%

Polymarket

$58,816 Vol.

Cait Conley

$26,483 Vol.

48%

Beth Davidson

$23,329 Vol.

37%

Effie Phillips-Staley

$1,017 Vol.

9%

Peter Chatzky

$3,570 Vol.

2%

Mike Sacks

$1,174 Vol.

<1%

John Cappello

$869 Vol.

<1%

Jessica Reinmann

$927 Vol.

<1%

John Sullivan

$1,448 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Army veteran Cait Conley at 47.5% and Rockland legislator Beth Davidson at 43%, driven by split county Democratic endorsements that prevent party unification. Putnam County Democrats backed Conley on April 20 with 63% support, while Bedford endorsed Davidson on April 14, and Westchester abstained on April 17 amid abstentions. Recent candidate forums, including a Jewish community event where both distanced from Senate efforts to block Israel aid, and strong Q1 fundraising for the top two, underscore their viability against GOP Rep. Mike Lawler in this toss-up seat. With early voting imminent, new polls, additional endorsements, or standout debate performances could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$58,816
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New York's 17th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Army veteran Cait Conley at 47.5% and Rockland legislator Beth Davidson at 43%, driven by split county Democratic endorsements that prevent party unification. Putnam County Democrats backed Conley on April 20 with 63% support, while Bedford endorsed Davidson on April 14, and Westchester abstained on April 17 amid abstentions. Recent candidate forums, including a Jewish community event where both distanced from Senate efforts to block Israel aid, and strong Q1 fundraising for the top two, underscore their viability against GOP Rep. Mike Lawler in this toss-up seat. With early voting imminent, new polls, additional endorsements, or standout debate performances could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$58,816
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cait Conley" con 48%, seguido de "Beth Davidson" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" ha generado $58.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" es "Cait Conley" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Beth Davidson" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-17" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.