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Política·Primarias

ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Joe Baldacci 55%

Matthew Dunlap 28%

Jordan Wood 16%

Jared Golden <1%

Polymarket

$12,518 Vol.

Joe Baldacci 55%

Matthew Dunlap 28%

Jordan Wood 16%

Jared Golden <1%

Polymarket

$12,518 Vol.

Joe Baldacci

$3,775 Vol.

55%

Matthew Dunlap

$3,172 Vol.

28%

Jordan Wood

$2,803 Vol.

16%

Jared Golden

$2,768 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Baldacci leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability in the ME-02 Democratic primary due to his polling edge in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus survey (36% support), bolstered by strong local roots as a state senator and name recognition from his brother, former Gov. John Baldacci. Incumbent Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement opened the field, dropping his odds to 2.3% amid no signs of reversal. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap holds 30.5% with recent progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution in mid-April, appealing to left-leaning voters. Jordan Wood trails at 13.5% as a lesser-known contender. The first TV debate among four Democrats on April 28 sharpened contrasts ahead of the June 9 primary in this battleground district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$12,518
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Baldacci leads trader consensus at 55% implied probability in the ME-02 Democratic primary due to his polling edge in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus survey (36% support), bolstered by strong local roots as a state senator and name recognition from his brother, former Gov. John Baldacci. Incumbent Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement opened the field, dropping his odds to 2.3% amid no signs of reversal. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap holds 30.5% with recent progressive endorsements, including Our Revolution in mid-April, appealing to left-leaning voters. Jordan Wood trails at 13.5% as a lesser-known contender. The first TV debate among four Democrats on April 28 sharpened contrasts ahead of the June 9 primary in this battleground district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$12,518
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Joe Baldacci" con 55%, seguido de "Matthew Dunlap" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $12.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Joe Baldacci" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Matthew Dunlap" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "ME-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.