In California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, trader consensus favors Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer or Xavier Becerra to advance, reflecting recent polls showing Hilton leading at around 18% amid a fragmented Democratic field. Eric Swalwell's April 12 withdrawal following sexual assault allegations and Betty Yee's April 20 exit—endorsing Steyer—have consolidated some Democratic support toward Becerra and Steyer, but not enough to overtake GOP frontrunners Chad Bianco and Hilton, boosted by President Trump's April 6 endorsement. Economy and housing affordability dominate voter concerns, favoring Republican messaging. Upcoming CNN debate on May 5 could alter momentum in this wide-open contest with 23% undecided.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$559,083 Vol.
Steve Hilton
69%
Tom Steyer
60%
Xavier Becerra
57%
Chad Bianco
15%
Katie Porter
8%
Matt Mahan
8%
Elaine Culotti
4%
David Thelen
4%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Leo Zacky
3%
Leonard Jackson
3%
Kyle Langford
3%
Sharifah Hardie
2%
Zoltan Istvan
2%
Ian Calderón
2%
David Serpa
2%
Ramsey Robinson
2%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Dylan Colbert
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Daniel Mercuri
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Derek Grasty
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Tony Thurmond
2%
Sophia Brink
2%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Ryan Tillman
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Ethan Agarwal
1%
Thunder Parley
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Javen Allen
50%
$559,083 Vol.
Steve Hilton
69%
Tom Steyer
60%
Xavier Becerra
57%
Chad Bianco
15%
Katie Porter
8%
Matt Mahan
8%
Elaine Culotti
4%
David Thelen
4%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Leo Zacky
3%
Leonard Jackson
3%
Kyle Langford
3%
Sharifah Hardie
2%
Zoltan Istvan
2%
Ian Calderón
2%
David Serpa
2%
Ramsey Robinson
2%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Dylan Colbert
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Daniel Mercuri
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Derek Grasty
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Tony Thurmond
2%
Sophia Brink
2%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Ryan Tillman
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Betty Yee
1%
Ethan Agarwal
1%
Thunder Parley
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Javen Allen
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, trader consensus favors Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer or Xavier Becerra to advance, reflecting recent polls showing Hilton leading at around 18% amid a fragmented Democratic field. Eric Swalwell's April 12 withdrawal following sexual assault allegations and Betty Yee's April 20 exit—endorsing Steyer—have consolidated some Democratic support toward Becerra and Steyer, but not enough to overtake GOP frontrunners Chad Bianco and Hilton, boosted by President Trump's April 6 endorsement. Economy and housing affordability dominate voter concerns, favoring Republican messaging. Upcoming CNN debate on May 5 could alter momentum in this wide-open contest with 23% undecided.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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