Skip to main content
icon for ¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

icon for ¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

$559,083 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$559,083 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$37,131 Vol.

69%

Tom Steyer

$24,829 Vol.

60%

Xavier Becerra

$7,446 Vol.

57%

Chad Bianco

$19,052 Vol.

15%

Katie Porter

$7,666 Vol.

8%

Matt Mahan

$14,779 Vol.

8%

Elaine Culotti

$51 Vol.

4%

David Thelen

$949 Vol.

4%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$12,098 Vol.

3%

Leo Zacky

$1,189 Vol.

3%

Leonard Jackson

$3,331 Vol.

3%

Kyle Langford

$10,837 Vol.

3%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,803 Vol.

2%

Ian Calderón

$112,194 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$4,506 Vol.

2%

Ramsey Robinson

$3,242 Vol.

2%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

2%

Ché Ahn

$17,926 Vol.

2%

Dylan Colbert

$13,693 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,848 Vol.

2%

Daniel Mercuri

$9,389 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$8,287 Vol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$3,178 Vol.

2%

Derek Grasty

$18,287 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$2,702 Vol.

2%

Tony Thurmond

$1,590 Vol.

2%

Sophia Brink

$37,819 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$8,322 Vol.

1%

Ryan Tillman

$1,616 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$36,164 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$3,557 Vol.

1%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,642 Vol.

1%

Thunder Parley

$55,213 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$60,747 Vol.

1%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

50%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, trader consensus favors Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer or Xavier Becerra to advance, reflecting recent polls showing Hilton leading at around 18% amid a fragmented Democratic field. Eric Swalwell's April 12 withdrawal following sexual assault allegations and Betty Yee's April 20 exit—endorsing Steyer—have consolidated some Democratic support toward Becerra and Steyer, but not enough to overtake GOP frontrunners Chad Bianco and Hilton, boosted by President Trump's April 6 endorsement. Economy and housing affordability dominate voter concerns, favoring Republican messaging. Upcoming CNN debate on May 5 could alter momentum in this wide-open contest with 23% undecided.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$559,083
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, trader consensus favors Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer or Xavier Becerra to advance, reflecting recent polls showing Hilton leading at around 18% amid a fragmented Democratic field. Eric Swalwell's April 12 withdrawal following sexual assault allegations and Betty Yee's April 20 exit—endorsing Steyer—have consolidated some Democratic support toward Becerra and Steyer, but not enough to overtake GOP frontrunners Chad Bianco and Hilton, boosted by President Trump's April 6 endorsement. Economy and housing affordability dominate voter concerns, favoring Republican messaging. Upcoming CNN debate on May 5 could alter momentum in this wide-open contest with 23% undecided.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$559,083
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Steve Hilton" con 69%, seguido de "Tom Steyer" con 60%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" ha generado $559.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es "Steve Hilton" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Steyer" con 60%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.