Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, center on lifting the American naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for curbs on Tehran's nuclear enrichment and missile programs, creating the razor-thin 52.5% trader consensus for a deal before 2027. President Trump's administration rejected Iran's latest proposal to postpone nuclear talks and reopen the strait first, insisting on immediate restrictions and sanctions relief tied to IAEA inspections, while Iran's supreme leader vowed yesterday to protect these capabilities amid a fragile ceasefire. Limited backchannel progress sustains yes odds, but defiant red lines from both sides balance the market; concessions on enrichment limits or verification could tip toward yes, while escalation or congressional hurdles might solidify no.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$840,890 Vol.
$840,890 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$840,890 Vol.
$840,890 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, center on lifting the American naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for curbs on Tehran's nuclear enrichment and missile programs, creating the razor-thin 52.5% trader consensus for a deal before 2027. President Trump's administration rejected Iran's latest proposal to postpone nuclear talks and reopen the strait first, insisting on immediate restrictions and sanctions relief tied to IAEA inspections, while Iran's supreme leader vowed yesterday to protect these capabilities amid a fragile ceasefire. Limited backchannel progress sustains yes odds, but defiant red lines from both sides balance the market; concessions on enrichment limits or verification could tip toward yes, while escalation or congressional hurdles might solidify no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volumen
$840,890Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, center on lifting the American naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for curbs on Tehran's nuclear enrichment and missile programs, creating the razor-thin 52.5% trader consensus for a deal before 2027. President Trump's administration rejected Iran's latest proposal to postpone nuclear talks and reopen the strait first, insisting on immediate restrictions and sanctions relief tied to IAEA inspections, while Iran's supreme leader vowed yesterday to protect these capabilities amid a fragile ceasefire. Limited backchannel progress sustains yes odds, but defiant red lines from both sides balance the market; concessions on enrichment limits or verification could tip toward yes, while escalation or congressional hurdles might solidify no.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$840,890Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated through Pakistan, center on lifting the American naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for curbs on Tehran's nuclear enrichment and missile programs, creating the razor-thin 52.5% trader consensus for a deal before 2027. President Trump's administration rejected Iran's latest proposal to postpone nuclear talks and reopen the strait first, insisting on immediate restrictions and sanctions relief tied to IAEA inspections, while Iran's supreme leader vowed yesterday to protect these capabilities amid a fragile ceasefire. Limited backchannel progress sustains yes odds, but defiant red lines from both sides balance the market; concessions on enrichment limits or verification could tip toward yes, while escalation or congressional hurdles might solidify no.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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