US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
$26,537 Vol.
31 may 2026
May 31
7%
$26,537 Vol.
May 31
$7,736 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volumen
$26,537Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$26,537Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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