Nawaf Salam has served continuously as Lebanon's prime minister since forming a 24-minister cabinet in February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun. Parliament's March 2026 vote to postpone the scheduled May elections by two years, citing security disruptions from the Lebanon war, has extended the transitional government's mandate and removed an immediate trigger for cabinet change. Salam remains active in directing postwar reconstruction, economic reforms, ceasefire implementation with Israel, and efforts to consolidate state authority over weapons, while maintaining parliamentary backing. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 65% "No" probability that he will not exit the premiership during 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served continuously as Lebanon's prime minister since forming a 24-minister cabinet in February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun. Parliament's March 2026 vote to postpone the scheduled May elections by two years, citing security disruptions from the Lebanon war, has extended the transitional government's mandate and removed an immediate trigger for cabinet change. Salam remains active in directing postwar reconstruction, economic reforms, ceasefire implementation with Israel, and efforts to consolidate state authority over weapons, while maintaining parliamentary backing. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 65% "No" probability that he will not exit the premiership during 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volumen
$685Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served continuously as Lebanon's prime minister since forming a 24-minister cabinet in February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun. Parliament's March 2026 vote to postpone the scheduled May elections by two years, citing security disruptions from the Lebanon war, has extended the transitional government's mandate and removed an immediate trigger for cabinet change. Salam remains active in directing postwar reconstruction, economic reforms, ceasefire implementation with Israel, and efforts to consolidate state authority over weapons, while maintaining parliamentary backing. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 65% "No" probability that he will not exit the premiership during 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$685Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has served continuously as Lebanon's prime minister since forming a 24-minister cabinet in February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun. Parliament's March 2026 vote to postpone the scheduled May elections by two years, citing security disruptions from the Lebanon war, has extended the transitional government's mandate and removed an immediate trigger for cabinet change. Salam remains active in directing postwar reconstruction, economic reforms, ceasefire implementation with Israel, and efforts to consolidate state authority over weapons, while maintaining parliamentary backing. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 65% "No" probability that he will not exit the premiership during 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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