Indonesia and Israel maintain no formal diplomatic relations, with Jakarta conditioning normalization on Tel Aviv's recognition of an independent Palestinian state—a position President Prabowo Subianto affirmed in May 2025 amid stalled Abraham Accords expansion. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability due to strong domestic opposition (75-80% against per 2025-2026 polls) and recent condemnations, including Indonesia's April rebuke over a Gaza hospital incident and the March 30 death of an Indonesian UNIFIL peacekeeper in Lebanon. Informal trade and February aid overflights persist, but OECD accession pressures Israel for approval without breakthroughs. No notable developments in the past 30 days; Gaza stability or U.S. diplomacy could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$716,304 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
5%
31 de diciembre de 2026
12%
$716,304 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$291,958 Vol.
5%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$424,346 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia and Israel maintain no formal diplomatic relations, with Jakarta conditioning normalization on Tel Aviv's recognition of an independent Palestinian state—a position President Prabowo Subianto affirmed in May 2025 amid stalled Abraham Accords expansion. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability due to strong domestic opposition (75-80% against per 2025-2026 polls) and recent condemnations, including Indonesia's April rebuke over a Gaza hospital incident and the March 30 death of an Indonesian UNIFIL peacekeeper in Lebanon. Informal trade and February aid overflights persist, but OECD accession pressures Israel for approval without breakthroughs. No notable developments in the past 30 days; Gaza stability or U.S. diplomacy could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
Volumen
$716,304Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia and Israel maintain no formal diplomatic relations, with Jakarta conditioning normalization on Tel Aviv's recognition of an independent Palestinian state—a position President Prabowo Subianto affirmed in May 2025 amid stalled Abraham Accords expansion. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability due to strong domestic opposition (75-80% against per 2025-2026 polls) and recent condemnations, including Indonesia's April rebuke over a Gaza hospital incident and the March 30 death of an Indonesian UNIFIL peacekeeper in Lebanon. Informal trade and February aid overflights persist, but OECD accession pressures Israel for approval without breakthroughs. No notable developments in the past 30 days; Gaza stability or U.S. diplomacy could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$716,304Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Indonesia and Israel maintain no formal diplomatic relations, with Jakarta conditioning normalization on Tel Aviv's recognition of an independent Palestinian state—a position President Prabowo Subianto affirmed in May 2025 amid stalled Abraham Accords expansion. Trader consensus reflects low implied probability due to strong domestic opposition (75-80% against per 2025-2026 polls) and recent condemnations, including Indonesia's April rebuke over a Gaza hospital incident and the March 30 death of an Indonesian UNIFIL peacekeeper in Lebanon. Informal trade and February aid overflights persist, but OECD accession pressures Israel for approval without breakthroughs. No notable developments in the past 30 days; Gaza stability or U.S. diplomacy could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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