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icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

9% probabilidad
Polymarket

$41,475 Vol.

9% probabilidad
Polymarket

$41,475 Vol.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu and Likud have publicly confirmed his candidacy for the October 2026 Knesset elections, including a direct statement days after U.S. President Trump questioned his intentions. The prime minister continues to lead coalition maneuvers, advance security-focused policy priorities, and participate in legislative efforts to shape the electoral timeline, with no announcements or credible signals of withdrawal. Polling shows Likud remaining competitive despite bloc shortfalls, and Netanyahu faces no immediate legal or party deadline that would force an exit before the July 31 cutoff. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to continuation, reflecting the absence of any verified catalyst for a sudden departure.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$41,475
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu and Likud have publicly confirmed his candidacy for the October 2026 Knesset elections, including a direct statement days after U.S. President Trump questioned his intentions. The prime minister continues to lead coalition maneuvers, advance security-focused policy priorities, and participate in legislative efforts to shape the electoral timeline, with no announcements or credible signals of withdrawal. Polling shows Likud remaining competitive despite bloc shortfalls, and Netanyahu faces no immediate legal or party deadline that would force an exit before the July 31 cutoff. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to continuation, reflecting the absence of any verified catalyst for a sudden departure.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$41,475
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 9% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 9¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" ha generado $41.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" es 9% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 9% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.