Amid heightened US-Israel-Iran tensions since late February 2026 US and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, Iran has launched retaliatory missile barrages and drone attacks, including a major strike on an Israeli military base around April 26 and hits on US facilities at Camp Buehring in Kuwait and bases in Bahrain. Escalation persisted through early April with Iranian assaults on Gulf infrastructure like desalination plants and oil pipelines, alongside US responses targeting Iran's petrochemical zones and Bushehr nuclear perimeter. President Trump's repeated deadlines for Strait of Hormuz reopening have yielded no ceasefire, leaving traders focused on verified cross-border strikes as the key resolution driver by today's deadline, with potential for late diplomatic signals or further reprisals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acción militar de Irán contra ___ antes del 30 de abril?
¿Acción militar de Irán contra ___ antes del 30 de abril?
$5,095,518 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Baréin
2%
Catar
2%
Omán
1%
Jordania
1%
Afganistán
1%
Pakistán
<1%
Chipre
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Yemen
<1%
Líbano
<1%
Turquía
<1%
Alemania
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Siria
<1%
España
<1%
Francia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
Hungría
<1%
Ucrania
<1%
India
<1%
Italia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
$5,095,518 Vol.
Baréin
$538,269 Vol.
2%
Catar
$216,020 Vol.
2%
Omán
$100,683 Vol.
1%
Jordania
$63,509 Vol.
1%
Afganistán
$13,251 Vol.
1%
Pakistán
$48,305 Vol.
<1%
Chipre
$27,756 Vol.
<1%
Azerbaiyán
$105,592 Vol.
<1%
Reino Unido
$30,727 Vol.
<1%
Yemen
$20,676 Vol.
<1%
Líbano
$63,272 Vol.
<1%
Turquía
$46,100 Vol.
<1%
Alemania
$21,610 Vol.
<1%
Armenia
$12,280 Vol.
<1%
Siria
$26,318 Vol.
<1%
España
$9,941 Vol.
<1%
Francia
$51,136 Vol.
<1%
Polonia
$38,898 Vol.
<1%
Hungría
$26,831 Vol.
<1%
Ucrania
$16,328 Vol.
<1%
India
$30,960 Vol.
<1%
Italia
$4,372 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$18,123 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid heightened US-Israel-Iran tensions since late February 2026 US and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, Iran has launched retaliatory missile barrages and drone attacks, including a major strike on an Israeli military base around April 26 and hits on US facilities at Camp Buehring in Kuwait and bases in Bahrain. Escalation persisted through early April with Iranian assaults on Gulf infrastructure like desalination plants and oil pipelines, alongside US responses targeting Iran's petrochemical zones and Bushehr nuclear perimeter. President Trump's repeated deadlines for Strait of Hormuz reopening have yielded no ceasefire, leaving traders focused on verified cross-border strikes as the key resolution driver by today's deadline, with potential for late diplomatic signals or further reprisals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$5,095,518Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid heightened US-Israel-Iran tensions since late February 2026 US and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, Iran has launched retaliatory missile barrages and drone attacks, including a major strike on an Israeli military base around April 26 and hits on US facilities at Camp Buehring in Kuwait and bases in Bahrain. Escalation persisted through early April with Iranian assaults on Gulf infrastructure like desalination plants and oil pipelines, alongside US responses targeting Iran's petrochemical zones and Bushehr nuclear perimeter. President Trump's repeated deadlines for Strait of Hormuz reopening have yielded no ceasefire, leaving traders focused on verified cross-border strikes as the key resolution driver by today's deadline, with potential for late diplomatic signals or further reprisals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$5,095,518Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Israel-Iran tensions since late February 2026 US and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, Iran has launched retaliatory missile barrages and drone attacks, including a major strike on an Israeli military base around April 26 and hits on US facilities at Camp Buehring in Kuwait and bases in Bahrain. Escalation persisted through early April with Iranian assaults on Gulf infrastructure like desalination plants and oil pipelines, alongside US responses targeting Iran's petrochemical zones and Bushehr nuclear perimeter. President Trump's repeated deadlines for Strait of Hormuz reopening have yielded no ceasefire, leaving traders focused on verified cross-border strikes as the key resolution driver by today's deadline, with potential for late diplomatic signals or further reprisals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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