Israeli naval forces intercepted the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, seizing over 20 of its 58 vessels and detaining around 175 activists, including high-profile figures, hundreds of miles from Gaza. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's longstanding enforcement of the Gaza blockade, has halted the flotilla's progress well short of Israeli waters, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability on "No" entry by May 31. Organizers departed Barcelona on April 12 amid heightened military vigilance, with prior flotillas similarly thwarted; remaining vessels face formidable barriers from ongoing patrols and diplomatic pressures, though escalation signals or new sailings could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La flotilla de Gaza entrará en aguas israelíes antes del 31 de mayo?
¿La flotilla de Gaza entrará en aguas israelíes antes del 31 de mayo?
Sí
$96,016 Vol.
$96,016 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sí
$96,016 Vol.
$96,016 Vol.
31 may 2026
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces intercepted the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, seizing over 20 of its 58 vessels and detaining around 175 activists, including high-profile figures, hundreds of miles from Gaza. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's longstanding enforcement of the Gaza blockade, has halted the flotilla's progress well short of Israeli waters, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability on "No" entry by May 31. Organizers departed Barcelona on April 12 amid heightened military vigilance, with prior flotillas similarly thwarted; remaining vessels face formidable barriers from ongoing patrols and diplomatic pressures, though escalation signals or new sailings could shift dynamics.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volumen
$96,016Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces intercepted the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, seizing over 20 of its 58 vessels and detaining around 175 activists, including high-profile figures, hundreds of miles from Gaza. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's longstanding enforcement of the Gaza blockade, has halted the flotilla's progress well short of Israeli waters, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability on "No" entry by May 31. Organizers departed Barcelona on April 12 amid heightened military vigilance, with prior flotillas similarly thwarted; remaining vessels face formidable barriers from ongoing patrols and diplomatic pressures, though escalation signals or new sailings could shift dynamics.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$96,030Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli naval forces intercepted the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, seizing over 20 of its 58 vessels and detaining around 175 activists, including high-profile figures, hundreds of miles from Gaza. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's longstanding enforcement of the Gaza blockade, has halted the flotilla's progress well short of Israeli waters, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability on "No" entry by May 31. Organizers departed Barcelona on April 12 amid heightened military vigilance, with prior flotillas similarly thwarted; remaining vessels face formidable barriers from ongoing patrols and diplomatic pressures, though escalation signals or new sailings could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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