Skip to main content
icon for Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

icon for Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

14% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
14% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Israel's High Court heard petitions in mid-April 2026 urging Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir over alleged unlawful interference in police investigations, promotions, and protest handling, backed by Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara. Despite prior rulings finding violations, coalition leaders including Justice Minister Yariv Levin vowed to ignore any order removing him, citing its invalidity, as Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party provides critical Knesset support for Netanyahu's slim majority government. Ben-Gvir remains active, championing the early April passage of a death penalty bill for Palestinian terrorists convicted in deadly attacks and urging escalation against Hezbollah. Trader consensus at 86.5% "No" reflects entrenched coalition dynamics and historical defiance of judicial overreach, with no imminent resignation or snap election signals before June 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,566
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Israel's High Court heard petitions in mid-April 2026 urging Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir over alleged unlawful interference in police investigations, promotions, and protest handling, backed by Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara. Despite prior rulings finding violations, coalition leaders including Justice Minister Yariv Levin vowed to ignore any order removing him, citing its invalidity, as Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party provides critical Knesset support for Netanyahu's slim majority government. Ben-Gvir remains active, championing the early April passage of a death penalty bill for Palestinian terrorists convicted in deadly attacks and urging escalation against Hezbollah. Trader consensus at 86.5% "No" reflects entrenched coalition dynamics and historical defiance of judicial overreach, with no imminent resignation or snap election signals before June 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,566
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 14% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 14¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" es 14% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 14% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.