Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding, finalized around June 14, 2026, and slated for signing on June 19, following a fragile April ceasefire and June flare-ups involving missile exchanges and Israeli strikes on Iranian and Hezbollah targets. The framework addresses the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for nuclear issues but excludes direct Israel participation. Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have signaled alignment with U.S. positions on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons and curbing proxies while maintaining operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Trader sentiment reflects these diplomatic steps amid persistent regional tensions, where any bilateral Israel-Iran accord would require separate resolution of core disputes over military capabilities and proxy networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$8,352,154 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio
15%
31 de julio
25%
$8,352,154 Vol.
30 de junio
$5,316,791 Vol.
15%
31 de julio
$20,907 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding, finalized around June 14, 2026, and slated for signing on June 19, following a fragile April ceasefire and June flare-ups involving missile exchanges and Israeli strikes on Iranian and Hezbollah targets. The framework addresses the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for nuclear issues but excludes direct Israel participation. Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have signaled alignment with U.S. positions on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons and curbing proxies while maintaining operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Trader sentiment reflects these diplomatic steps amid persistent regional tensions, where any bilateral Israel-Iran accord would require separate resolution of core disputes over military capabilities and proxy networks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volumen
$8,352,154Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding, finalized around June 14, 2026, and slated for signing on June 19, following a fragile April ceasefire and June flare-ups involving missile exchanges and Israeli strikes on Iranian and Hezbollah targets. The framework addresses the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for nuclear issues but excludes direct Israel participation. Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have signaled alignment with U.S. positions on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons and curbing proxies while maintaining operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Trader sentiment reflects these diplomatic steps amid persistent regional tensions, where any bilateral Israel-Iran accord would require separate resolution of core disputes over military capabilities and proxy networks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,352,154Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding, finalized around June 14, 2026, and slated for signing on June 19, following a fragile April ceasefire and June flare-ups involving missile exchanges and Israeli strikes on Iranian and Hezbollah targets. The framework addresses the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for nuclear issues but excludes direct Israel participation. Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have signaled alignment with U.S. positions on preventing Iranian nuclear weapons and curbing proxies while maintaining operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Trader sentiment reflects these diplomatic steps amid persistent regional tensions, where any bilateral Israel-Iran accord would require separate resolution of core disputes over military capabilities and proxy networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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