Recent polling averages for Israel's 2026 Knesset election, scheduled by October 27, show Likud projected at 22–24 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote. A Bennett-Lapid alliance formed in April has consolidated opposition support, frequently placing the combined slate ahead of Likud and pushing the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 58 seats. The Knesset’s May dissolution vote advanced the timeline amid coalition strains, including an ultra-Orthodox partner’s withdrawal of support. Multiple surveys from Channels 11–13, Maariv, and others confirm the right-wing bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority, reflecting voter shifts and fatigue with the incumbent government. These trends underpin trader consensus on a likely seat decline for Likud.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
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27 oct 2026
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NUEVO
27 oct 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's 2026 Knesset election, scheduled by October 27, show Likud projected at 22–24 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote. A Bennett-Lapid alliance formed in April has consolidated opposition support, frequently placing the combined slate ahead of Likud and pushing the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 58 seats. The Knesset’s May dissolution vote advanced the timeline amid coalition strains, including an ultra-Orthodox partner’s withdrawal of support. Multiple surveys from Channels 11–13, Maariv, and others confirm the right-wing bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority, reflecting voter shifts and fatigue with the incumbent government. These trends underpin trader consensus on a likely seat decline for Likud.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volumen
$1,412Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's 2026 Knesset election, scheduled by October 27, show Likud projected at 22–24 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote. A Bennett-Lapid alliance formed in April has consolidated opposition support, frequently placing the combined slate ahead of Likud and pushing the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 58 seats. The Knesset’s May dissolution vote advanced the timeline amid coalition strains, including an ultra-Orthodox partner’s withdrawal of support. Multiple surveys from Channels 11–13, Maariv, and others confirm the right-wing bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority, reflecting voter shifts and fatigue with the incumbent government. These trends underpin trader consensus on a likely seat decline for Likud.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$1,412Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages for Israel's 2026 Knesset election, scheduled by October 27, show Likud projected at 22–24 seats, well below its 32 seats from the 2022 vote. A Bennett-Lapid alliance formed in April has consolidated opposition support, frequently placing the combined slate ahead of Likud and pushing the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc near or above 58 seats. The Knesset’s May dissolution vote advanced the timeline amid coalition strains, including an ultra-Orthodox partner’s withdrawal of support. Multiple surveys from Channels 11–13, Maariv, and others confirm the right-wing bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority, reflecting voter shifts and fatigue with the incumbent government. These trends underpin trader consensus on a likely seat decline for Likud.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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