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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38

Jon Bonck 93.2%

Jennifer Sundt 3.5%

Avery Ayers 3.5%

Michael Pratt 3.4%

Polymarket

$36,988 Vol.

Jon Bonck 93.2%

Jennifer Sundt 3.5%

Avery Ayers 3.5%

Michael Pratt 3.4%

Polymarket

$36,988 Vol.

Jon Bonck

$17,463 Vol.

93%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,276 Vol.

3%

Avery Ayers

$2,240 Vol.

3%

Michael Pratt

$2,660 Vol.

3%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,110 Vol.

3%

Larry Rubin

$2,085 Vol.

3%

Barrett McNabb

$1,618 Vol.

3%

Jeff Yuna

$2,467 Vol.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,570 Vol.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,498 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at 93% to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, propelled by his leading 47% performance among 10 candidates in the March 3 first-round primary—well ahead of Shelly deZevallos at second place—bolstered by former President Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth PAC support, and robust fundraising exceeding $1 million. Recent momentum includes a new campaign ad emphasizing Christian conservative values released April 21, grassroots yard sign distribution, an upcoming Cypress event with Rep. Brandon Gill, and an April 28 endorsement from parental rights advocate Denise Bell, with early voting starting May 18. While Bonck's frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency-like advantages in this GOP stronghold vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt, a late scandal, deZevallos turnout edge among non-voters, or attack ads could narrow the gap in the low-turnout runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,988
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at 93% to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, propelled by his leading 47% performance among 10 candidates in the March 3 first-round primary—well ahead of Shelly deZevallos at second place—bolstered by former President Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth PAC support, and robust fundraising exceeding $1 million. Recent momentum includes a new campaign ad emphasizing Christian conservative values released April 21, grassroots yard sign distribution, an upcoming Cypress event with Rep. Brandon Gill, and an April 28 endorsement from parental rights advocate Denise Bell, with early voting starting May 18. While Bonck's frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of incumbency-like advantages in this GOP stronghold vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt, a late scandal, deZevallos turnout edge among non-voters, or attack ads could narrow the gap in the low-turnout runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,988
Fecha de finalización
26 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jon Bonck" con 93%, seguido de "Jennifer Sundt" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38" ha generado $37K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38" es "Jon Bonck" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jennifer Sundt" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de TX-38" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.