Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff despite a crowded field of challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for a GOP victory in TX-31's general election on November 3. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Trump 60% performance in the 2024 presidential vote, and Carter's fundraising edge—$1.35 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—align with Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections through April 28. No public general election polling has surfaced, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the non-competitive outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$13,946 Vol.
$13,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,720 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$5,226 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff despite a crowded field of challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for a GOP victory in TX-31's general election on November 3. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Trump 60% performance in the 2024 presidential vote, and Carter's fundraising edge—$1.35 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—align with Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections through April 28. No public general election polling has surfaced, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the non-competitive outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$13,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff despite a crowded field of challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for a GOP victory in TX-31's general election on November 3. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Trump 60% performance in the 2024 presidential vote, and Carter's fundraising edge—$1.35 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—align with Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections through April 28. No public general election polling has surfaced, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the non-competitive outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's commanding 60% win in the March 3 Republican primary, avoiding a runoff despite a crowded field of challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 84.5% for a GOP victory in TX-31's general election on November 3. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Trump 60% performance in the 2024 presidential vote, and Carter's fundraising edge—$1.35 million raised versus Democrat Justin Early's $89,000 as of late March—align with Solid Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections through April 28. No public general election polling has surfaced, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the non-competitive outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes