Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% to hold Tennessee's 9th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the district's strong D+23 partisan lean and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, where incumbent Steve Cohen won 71% in 2024. However, GOP odds at 36% stem from uncertainty in the August 6 Democratic primary, where a March poll showed Cohen trailing challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson 45-44% among likely primary voters, amid Pearson's progressive profile and fundraising ($1.1M receipts). Recent April coverage, including a New York Times piece on generational change pitting 77-year-old Cohen against 31-year-old Pearson, has amplified primary risks that could yield a weaker general nominee, with low GOP fundraising underscoring limited Republican path absent Democratic disarray.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,669 Vol.
$15,669 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
47%
Partido Republicano
42%
$15,669 Vol.
$15,669 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$7,213 Vol.
47%
Partido Republicano
$8,456 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% to hold Tennessee's 9th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the district's strong D+23 partisan lean and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, where incumbent Steve Cohen won 71% in 2024. However, GOP odds at 36% stem from uncertainty in the August 6 Democratic primary, where a March poll showed Cohen trailing challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson 45-44% among likely primary voters, amid Pearson's progressive profile and fundraising ($1.1M receipts). Recent April coverage, including a New York Times piece on generational change pitting 77-year-old Cohen against 31-year-old Pearson, has amplified primary risks that could yield a weaker general nominee, with low GOP fundraising underscoring limited Republican path absent Democratic disarray.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$15,669Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% to hold Tennessee's 9th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the district's strong D+23 partisan lean and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, where incumbent Steve Cohen won 71% in 2024. However, GOP odds at 36% stem from uncertainty in the August 6 Democratic primary, where a March poll showed Cohen trailing challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson 45-44% among likely primary voters, amid Pearson's progressive profile and fundraising ($1.1M receipts). Recent April coverage, including a New York Times piece on generational change pitting 77-year-old Cohen against 31-year-old Pearson, has amplified primary risks that could yield a weaker general nominee, with low GOP fundraising underscoring limited Republican path absent Democratic disarray.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,669Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 56.5% to hold Tennessee's 9th Congressional District in the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the district's strong D+23 partisan lean and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, where incumbent Steve Cohen won 71% in 2024. However, GOP odds at 36% stem from uncertainty in the August 6 Democratic primary, where a March poll showed Cohen trailing challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson 45-44% among likely primary voters, amid Pearson's progressive profile and fundraising ($1.1M receipts). Recent April coverage, including a New York Times piece on generational change pitting 77-year-old Cohen against 31-year-old Pearson, has amplified primary risks that could yield a weaker general nominee, with low GOP fundraising underscoring limited Republican path absent Democratic disarray.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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