Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) 92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD) 4.5%
Partido Moderado (M) 2.6%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD) <1%
$1,093,429 Vol.
$1,093,429 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)
$33,135 Vol.
92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD)
$513,094 Vol.
5%
Partido Moderado (M)
$378,900 Vol.
3%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD)
$14,532 Vol.
1%
Liberales (L)
$14,822 Vol.
1%
Partido de la Izquierda (V)
$15,096 Vol.
<1%
Coalición de Ciudadanos (MED)
$13,588 Vol.
<1%
Partido del Centro (C)
$16,626 Vol.
<1%
Partido Verde (MP)
$93,638 Vol.
<1%
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S) 92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD) 4.5%
Partido Moderado (M) 2.6%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD) <1%
$1,093,429 Vol.
$1,093,429 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)
$33,135 Vol.
92%
Demócratas de Suecia (SD)
$513,094 Vol.
5%
Partido Moderado (M)
$378,900 Vol.
3%
Demócratas Cristianos (KD)
$14,532 Vol.
1%
Liberales (L)
$14,822 Vol.
1%
Partido de la Izquierda (V)
$15,096 Vol.
<1%
Coalición de Ciudadanos (MED)
$13,588 Vol.
<1%
Partido del Centro (C)
$16,626 Vol.
<1%
Partido Verde (MP)
$93,638 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 32-34%—a 13-point lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderates (M) at 18-20%. Recent Indikator and Ipsos surveys through late April confirm this edge, with the opposition bloc (S, Left Party, Greens, Centre) holding a 7-10 point advantage over the Tidö incumbent government (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD). Prime Minister Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to SD inclusion in a future coalition has backfired, eroding SD support and widening the gap amid healthcare strains and voter fatigue. While S's incumbency disadvantage from 2022 reversal aids their surge, a commanding position persists; shifts could arise from S scandals, right-wing vote consolidation, or economic upturns boosting Tidö before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 32-34%—a 13-point lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderates (M) at 18-20%. Recent Indikator and Ipsos surveys through late April confirm this edge, with the opposition bloc (S, Left Party, Greens, Centre) holding a 7-10 point advantage over the Tidö incumbent government (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD). Prime Minister Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to SD inclusion in a future coalition has backfired, eroding SD support and widening the gap amid healthcare strains and voter fatigue. While S's incumbency disadvantage from 2022 reversal aids their surge, a commanding position persists; shifts could arise from S scandals, right-wing vote consolidation, or economic upturns boosting Tidö before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 28 2026
Renewed polling and political analysis confirm Social Democrats' lead amid right-wing coalition tensions, pushing market
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Renewed polling and political analysis confirm Social Democrats' lead amid right-wing coalition tensions, pushing market
Apr 2 2026
Reports emerge of irritation among Christian Democrats and Liberals over Kristersson’s promise to give Sweden Democrats control over migration and integration portfolios,
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 5%1%
Reports emerge of irritation among Christian Democrats and Liberals over Kristersson’s promise to give Sweden Democrats control over migration and integration portfolios, indicating coalition frictions that may undermine SD’s perceived stability in government
Apr 1 2026
Swedish PM Ulf Kristersson states Moderate Party aims to form majority government with Sweden Democrats if winning election
Moderate Party (M) dips to 3%3%
Kristersson's public commitment to a coalition with the controversial Sweden Democrats clarified the party's strategy but may have limited broader appeal, reflected in the
Apr 1 2026
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson offers deal to include far-right Sweden Democrats in government with ministerial posts if coalition wins, raising concerns about right bloc
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 89%3%
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson offers deal to include far-right Sweden Democrats in government with ministerial posts if coalition wins, raising concerns about right bloc cohesion and boosting Social Democrats' relative appeal
Apr 1 2026
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly states that the Moderates will form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if they win the September election, promising SD
Sweden Democrats (SD) rises to 5%1%
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly states that the Moderates will form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if they win the September election, promising SD significant ministerial responsibility, especially on immigration, which polarizes public opinion and causes some market uncertainty
Mar 19 2026
Former Liberal minister Birgitta Ohlsson announces she will run for the Centre Party, criticizing the Liberals’ decision to allow Sweden Democrats ministerial roles, highlighting
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 7%1%
Former Liberal minister Birgitta Ohlsson announces she will run for the Centre Party, criticizing the Liberals’ decision to allow Sweden Democrats ministerial roles, highlighting political tensions within the right bloc
Mar 13 2026
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce agreement removing red lines against cooperation, signaling potential right-wing coalition instability and benefiting Social Democrats as
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) dips to 89%1%
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce agreement removing red lines against cooperation, signaling potential right-wing coalition instability and benefiting Social Democrats as opposition
Mar 13 2026
The Liberals announce an agreement with the Sweden Democrats to remove previous red lines against cooperating in a future right-of-centre coalition, boosting SD’s prospects of
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 8%3%
The Liberals announce an agreement with the Sweden Democrats to remove previous red lines against cooperating in a future right-of-centre coalition, boosting SD’s prospects of government participation but also causing mixed reactions among voters
Mar 13 2026
"The Sweden Promise": Liberals and Sweden Democrats agree to remove red lines for coalition cooperation, welcomed by Moderate Party leaders including PM Ulf Kristersson
Moderate Party (M) dips to 3%1%
This agreement clarified coalition possibilities on the right but also highlighted the complex dynamics and reliance on Sweden Democrats, which may have tempered enthusiasm for a Moderate majority, contributing to a slight
Feb 3 2026
Moderate Party
Moderate Party (M) rises to 6%3%
A slight recovery in polling and possible positive political signals in early February caused a temporary
Jan 25 2026
Indikator Opinion poll highlights the importance of the 4% electoral threshold and direct mandates, with Socialdemokraterna maintaining a strong position, supporting expectations
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Indikator Opinion poll highlights the importance of the 4% electoral threshold and direct mandates, with Socialdemokraterna maintaining a strong position, supporting expectations of a parliamentary plurality
Dec 16 2025
Demoskop opinion poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 33.6% support, ahead of right-wing parties, projecting 123 seats in the Riksdag, reinforcing market confidence in S's
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) jumps to 87%7%
Demoskop opinion poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 33.6% support, ahead of right-wing parties, projecting 123 seats in the Riksdag, reinforcing market confidence in S's chances
Dec 16 2025
Demoskop poll confirms Socialdemokraterna lead with 33.6%, Moderaterna at 16.8%
Moderate Party (M) dips to 0%3%
Further polling reinforced the Moderate Party's weaker position relative to the leading parties, pushing the market
Dec 14 2025
Ipsos poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 34%, Moderaterna at 18%, trailing behind Sverigedemokraterna at 22%
Moderate Party (M) plunges to 3%18%
This poll confirmed the Moderate Party's position behind the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, contributing to the sharp
Dec 4 2025
Two Sweden Democrats MPs resign from the party, reducing SD’s parliamentary group to 70 members, signaling internal instability and weakening their position ahead of the election
Sweden Democrats (SD) drops to 11%11%
Two Sweden Democrats MPs resign from the party, reducing SD’s parliamentary group to 70 members, signaling internal instability and weakening their position ahead of the election
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 32-34%—a 13-point lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderates (M) at 18-20%. Recent Indikator and Ipsos surveys through late April confirm this edge, with the opposition bloc (S, Left Party, Greens, Centre) holding a 7-10 point advantage over the Tidö incumbent government (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD). Prime Minister Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to SD inclusion in a future coalition has backfired, eroding SD support and widening the gap amid healthcare strains and voter fatigue. While S's incumbency disadvantage from 2022 reversal aids their surge, a commanding position persists; shifts could arise from S scandals, right-wing vote consolidation, or economic upturns boosting Tidö before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the largest party in the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing S at 32-34%—a 13-point lead over Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderates (M) at 18-20%. Recent Indikator and Ipsos surveys through late April confirm this edge, with the opposition bloc (S, Left Party, Greens, Centre) holding a 7-10 point advantage over the Tidö incumbent government (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals, SD). Prime Minister Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to SD inclusion in a future coalition has backfired, eroding SD support and widening the gap amid healthcare strains and voter fatigue. While S's incumbency disadvantage from 2022 reversal aids their surge, a commanding position persists; shifts could arise from S scandals, right-wing vote consolidation, or economic upturns boosting Tidö before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 28 2026
Renewed polling and political analysis confirm Social Democrats' lead amid right-wing coalition tensions, pushing market
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Renewed polling and political analysis confirm Social Democrats' lead amid right-wing coalition tensions, pushing market
Apr 2 2026
Reports emerge of irritation among Christian Democrats and Liberals over Kristersson’s promise to give Sweden Democrats control over migration and integration portfolios,
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 5%1%
Reports emerge of irritation among Christian Democrats and Liberals over Kristersson’s promise to give Sweden Democrats control over migration and integration portfolios, indicating coalition frictions that may undermine SD’s perceived stability in government
Apr 1 2026
Swedish PM Ulf Kristersson states Moderate Party aims to form majority government with Sweden Democrats if winning election
Moderate Party (M) dips to 3%3%
Kristersson's public commitment to a coalition with the controversial Sweden Democrats clarified the party's strategy but may have limited broader appeal, reflected in the
Apr 1 2026
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson offers deal to include far-right Sweden Democrats in government with ministerial posts if coalition wins, raising concerns about right bloc
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 89%3%
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson offers deal to include far-right Sweden Democrats in government with ministerial posts if coalition wins, raising concerns about right bloc cohesion and boosting Social Democrats' relative appeal
Apr 1 2026
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly states that the Moderates will form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if they win the September election, promising SD
Sweden Democrats (SD) rises to 5%1%
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson publicly states that the Moderates will form a majority government with the Sweden Democrats if they win the September election, promising SD significant ministerial responsibility, especially on immigration, which polarizes public opinion and causes some market uncertainty
Mar 19 2026
Former Liberal minister Birgitta Ohlsson announces she will run for the Centre Party, criticizing the Liberals’ decision to allow Sweden Democrats ministerial roles, highlighting
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 7%1%
Former Liberal minister Birgitta Ohlsson announces she will run for the Centre Party, criticizing the Liberals’ decision to allow Sweden Democrats ministerial roles, highlighting political tensions within the right bloc
Mar 13 2026
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce agreement removing red lines against cooperation, signaling potential right-wing coalition instability and benefiting Social Democrats as
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) dips to 89%1%
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce agreement removing red lines against cooperation, signaling potential right-wing coalition instability and benefiting Social Democrats as opposition
Mar 13 2026
The Liberals announce an agreement with the Sweden Democrats to remove previous red lines against cooperating in a future right-of-centre coalition, boosting SD’s prospects of
Sweden Democrats (SD) dips to 8%3%
The Liberals announce an agreement with the Sweden Democrats to remove previous red lines against cooperating in a future right-of-centre coalition, boosting SD’s prospects of government participation but also causing mixed reactions among voters
Mar 13 2026
"The Sweden Promise": Liberals and Sweden Democrats agree to remove red lines for coalition cooperation, welcomed by Moderate Party leaders including PM Ulf Kristersson
Moderate Party (M) dips to 3%1%
This agreement clarified coalition possibilities on the right but also highlighted the complex dynamics and reliance on Sweden Democrats, which may have tempered enthusiasm for a Moderate majority, contributing to a slight
Feb 3 2026
Moderate Party
Moderate Party (M) rises to 6%3%
A slight recovery in polling and possible positive political signals in early February caused a temporary
Jan 25 2026
Indikator Opinion poll highlights the importance of the 4% electoral threshold and direct mandates, with Socialdemokraterna maintaining a strong position, supporting expectations
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) rises to 92%3%
Indikator Opinion poll highlights the importance of the 4% electoral threshold and direct mandates, with Socialdemokraterna maintaining a strong position, supporting expectations of a parliamentary plurality
Dec 16 2025
Demoskop opinion poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 33.6% support, ahead of right-wing parties, projecting 123 seats in the Riksdag, reinforcing market confidence in S's
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) jumps to 87%7%
Demoskop opinion poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 33.6% support, ahead of right-wing parties, projecting 123 seats in the Riksdag, reinforcing market confidence in S's chances
Dec 16 2025
Demoskop poll confirms Socialdemokraterna lead with 33.6%, Moderaterna at 16.8%
Moderate Party (M) dips to 0%3%
Further polling reinforced the Moderate Party's weaker position relative to the leading parties, pushing the market
Dec 14 2025
Ipsos poll shows Socialdemokraterna leading with 34%, Moderaterna at 18%, trailing behind Sverigedemokraterna at 22%
Moderate Party (M) plunges to 3%18%
This poll confirmed the Moderate Party's position behind the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, contributing to the sharp
Dec 4 2025
Two Sweden Democrats MPs resign from the party, reducing SD’s parliamentary group to 70 members, signaling internal instability and weakening their position ahead of the election
Sweden Democrats (SD) drops to 11%11%
Two Sweden Democrats MPs resign from the party, reducing SD’s parliamentary group to 70 members, signaling internal instability and weakening their position ahead of the election
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" con 92%, seguido de "Demócratas de Suecia (SD)" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" es "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócratas de Suecia (SD)" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $1.1 million operados en “Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 92¢ para "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" en el mercado "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 92% de que "Partido Socialdemócrata Sueco (S)" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 92¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 8¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Sep 13, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia" tiene una discusión creciente de 8 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Suecia". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes