Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with consistent 1–3 point leads over the Moderates across multiple surveys through late May. The Social Democrats hold a clear first-place advantage near 32–34%, while SD support stabilizes near 19–20% amid its role in the Tidö agreement backing the current centre-right government. The Moderates trail at 17–19% as the largest governing party but show limited momentum. Smaller parties remain fragmented below 10% each, with bloc dynamics and voter preference surveys reinforcing the SD edge. Traders reflect this durable polling gap in the implied probabilities ahead of the final campaign phase.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.3%
Liberals (L) 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
5%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%
Moderate Party (M)
31%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.3%
Liberals (L) 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$423 Vol.
5%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$687 Vol.
53%
Moderate Party (M)
$248 Vol.
31%
Centre Party (C)
$513 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$401 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$453 Vol.
1%
Green Party (MP)
$461 Vol.
1%
Liberals (L)
$498 Vol.
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$516 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with consistent 1–3 point leads over the Moderates across multiple surveys through late May. The Social Democrats hold a clear first-place advantage near 32–34%, while SD support stabilizes near 19–20% amid its role in the Tidö agreement backing the current centre-right government. The Moderates trail at 17–19% as the largest governing party but show limited momentum. Smaller parties remain fragmented below 10% each, with bloc dynamics and voter preference surveys reinforcing the SD edge. Traders reflect this durable polling gap in the implied probabilities ahead of the final campaign phase.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volumen
$4,201Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with consistent 1–3 point leads over the Moderates across multiple surveys through late May. The Social Democrats hold a clear first-place advantage near 32–34%, while SD support stabilizes near 19–20% amid its role in the Tidö agreement backing the current centre-right government. The Moderates trail at 17–19% as the largest governing party but show limited momentum. Smaller parties remain fragmented below 10% each, with bloc dynamics and voter preference surveys reinforcing the SD edge. Traders reflect this durable polling gap in the implied probabilities ahead of the final campaign phase.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$4,201Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the Sweden Democrats as the frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with consistent 1–3 point leads over the Moderates across multiple surveys through late May. The Social Democrats hold a clear first-place advantage near 32–34%, while SD support stabilizes near 19–20% amid its role in the Tidö agreement backing the current centre-right government. The Moderates trail at 17–19% as the largest governing party but show limited momentum. Smaller parties remain fragmented below 10% each, with bloc dynamics and voter preference surveys reinforcing the SD edge. Traders reflect this durable polling gap in the implied probabilities ahead of the final campaign phase.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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