Despite recent protests against President José Antonio Kast's austerity measures—including violent May Day clashes in Santiago on May 1, student demonstrations on April 29 over education budget cuts, and widespread cacerolazos on April 16 opposing corporate tax reductions—Chilean authorities have relied on riot police and invoked the State Security Law rather than declaring a state of siege. No estado de sitio decree has been issued amid these contained disturbances, far short of the severe internal war or widespread unrest required under the constitution, unlike the 2019 estallido social. Traders' 92.5% consensus on "No" reflects confidence in police management and low escalation risk through June 30, barring unforeseen crises like major wildfires or Mapuche conflict intensification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estado de Sitio declarado en Chile antes del 30 de junio?
¿Estado de Sitio declarado en Chile antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$48,190 Vol.
$48,190 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$48,190 Vol.
$48,190 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite recent protests against President José Antonio Kast's austerity measures—including violent May Day clashes in Santiago on May 1, student demonstrations on April 29 over education budget cuts, and widespread cacerolazos on April 16 opposing corporate tax reductions—Chilean authorities have relied on riot police and invoked the State Security Law rather than declaring a state of siege. No estado de sitio decree has been issued amid these contained disturbances, far short of the severe internal war or widespread unrest required under the constitution, unlike the 2019 estallido social. Traders' 92.5% consensus on "No" reflects confidence in police management and low escalation risk through June 30, barring unforeseen crises like major wildfires or Mapuche conflict intensification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ET
Volumen
$48,190Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite recent protests against President José Antonio Kast's austerity measures—including violent May Day clashes in Santiago on May 1, student demonstrations on April 29 over education budget cuts, and widespread cacerolazos on April 16 opposing corporate tax reductions—Chilean authorities have relied on riot police and invoked the State Security Law rather than declaring a state of siege. No estado de sitio decree has been issued amid these contained disturbances, far short of the severe internal war or widespread unrest required under the constitution, unlike the 2019 estallido social. Traders' 92.5% consensus on "No" reflects confidence in police management and low escalation risk through June 30, barring unforeseen crises like major wildfires or Mapuche conflict intensification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$48,190Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite recent protests against President José Antonio Kast's austerity measures—including violent May Day clashes in Santiago on May 1, student demonstrations on April 29 over education budget cuts, and widespread cacerolazos on April 16 opposing corporate tax reductions—Chilean authorities have relied on riot police and invoked the State Security Law rather than declaring a state of siege. No estado de sitio decree has been issued amid these contained disturbances, far short of the severe internal war or widespread unrest required under the constitution, unlike the 2019 estallido social. Traders' 92.5% consensus on "No" reflects confidence in police management and low escalation risk through June 30, barring unforeseen crises like major wildfires or Mapuche conflict intensification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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