Trader consensus prices AfD at 93% to secure the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, driven by consistent polling leads of 38% versus CDU's 25% in the latest May surveys from PolitPro and March INSA data, reflecting a sustained eastern German trend where AfD has doubled support since 2021 amid CDU declines following Premier Haseloff's 2025 exit and Schulze's January installation. No major shifts in the past 30 days, with other parties like Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), and BSW (5%) trailing far behind under proportional representation rules. Challenges could arise from an AfD scandal involving lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund, a late CDU rally, or higher turnout among coalition voters, though structural incumbency weaknesses limit upside.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 93%
CDU 6.7%
BSW <1%
SPD <1%
$687,300 Vol.
$687,300 Vol.

AfD
93%

CDU
7%

BSW
1%

SPD
<1%

FDP
<1%

La Izquierda
<1%

Los Verdes
<1%
AfD 93%
CDU 6.7%
BSW <1%
SPD <1%
$687,300 Vol.
$687,300 Vol.

AfD
93%

CDU
7%

BSW
1%

SPD
<1%

FDP
<1%

La Izquierda
<1%

Los Verdes
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices AfD at 93% to secure the most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, driven by consistent polling leads of 38% versus CDU's 25% in the latest May surveys from PolitPro and March INSA data, reflecting a sustained eastern German trend where AfD has doubled support since 2021 amid CDU declines following Premier Haseloff's 2025 exit and Schulze's January installation. No major shifts in the past 30 days, with other parties like Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), and BSW (5%) trailing far behind under proportional representation rules. Challenges could arise from an AfD scandal involving lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund, a late CDU rally, or higher turnout among coalition voters, though structural incumbency weaknesses limit upside.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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