With over 97% of acts processed by the National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 30, Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú maintains a slim lead of approximately 28,000 votes (12.04% to Rafael López Aliaga's 11.87%) for second place behind frontrunner Keiko Fujimori (17.11%) in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, driving trader consensus to 95% implied probability. This positioning stems from Sánchez's consistent regional strength amid a fragmented field of over 20 candidates, with remaining observed acts (2,766 sent to the National Jury of Elections, or JNE) deemed insufficient to overturn the margin by market participants wagering real money. Fraud allegations from López Aliaga have been dismissed by electoral observers and the JNE, which confirmed the June 7 runoff. Potential challenges include disproportionate JNE rulings on disputed ballots or late legal interventions, though historical precedents favor stability in late counts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRoberto Sánchez Palomino 95.0%
Rafael López Aliaga 1.8%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
$5,857,443 Vol.
$5,857,443 Vol.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
95%
Rafael López Aliaga
2%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 95.0%
Rafael López Aliaga 1.8%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
$5,857,443 Vol.
$5,857,443 Vol.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
95%
Rafael López Aliaga
2%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 97% of acts processed by the National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 30, Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú maintains a slim lead of approximately 28,000 votes (12.04% to Rafael López Aliaga's 11.87%) for second place behind frontrunner Keiko Fujimori (17.11%) in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, driving trader consensus to 95% implied probability. This positioning stems from Sánchez's consistent regional strength amid a fragmented field of over 20 candidates, with remaining observed acts (2,766 sent to the National Jury of Elections, or JNE) deemed insufficient to overturn the margin by market participants wagering real money. Fraud allegations from López Aliaga have been dismissed by electoral observers and the JNE, which confirmed the June 7 runoff. Potential challenges include disproportionate JNE rulings on disputed ballots or late legal interventions, though historical precedents favor stability in late counts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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