Polymarket traders price Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 92% to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads 35-40% to CDU's 25-30% amid CDU leadership transition from Reiner Haseloff to Sven Schulze in January. Voter dissatisfaction with immigration, economy, and federal coalition dynamics has sustained AfD's East German dominance, widening the gap in April polls like Spiegel's (AfD 39%, CDU 27%). CDU's 8% odds stem from incumbency but trail significantly; challenges could arise from AfD scandals, CDU surge via anti-AfD mobilization, or polling errors, though historical base rates favor poll-leading parties in state elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 92%
CDU 7.8%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
$686,110 Vol.
$686,110 Vol.
6 sep 2026
AfD
92%
CDU
8%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
SPD
<1%
La Izquierda
<1%
Los Verdes
<1%
AfD 92%
CDU 7.8%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
$686,110 Vol.
$686,110 Vol.
6 sep 2026
AfD
$12,075 Vol.
92%
CDU
$468,802 Vol.
8%
BSW
$18,556 Vol.
1%
FDP
$14,002 Vol.
1%
SPD
$106,381 Vol.
<1%
La Izquierda
$33,810 Vol.
<1%
Los Verdes
$32,484 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders price Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 92% to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads 35-40% to CDU's 25-30% amid CDU leadership transition from Reiner Haseloff to Sven Schulze in January. Voter dissatisfaction with immigration, economy, and federal coalition dynamics has sustained AfD's East German dominance, widening the gap in April polls like Spiegel's (AfD 39%, CDU 27%). CDU's 8% odds stem from incumbency but trail significantly; challenges could arise from AfD scandals, CDU surge via anti-AfD mobilization, or polling errors, though historical base rates favor poll-leading parties in state elections.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$686,110Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders price Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 92% to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads 35-40% to CDU's 25-30% amid CDU leadership transition from Reiner Haseloff to Sven Schulze in January. Voter dissatisfaction with immigration, economy, and federal coalition dynamics has sustained AfD's East German dominance, widening the gap in April polls like Spiegel's (AfD 39%, CDU 27%). CDU's 8% odds stem from incumbency but trail significantly; challenges could arise from AfD scandals, CDU surge via anti-AfD mobilization, or polling errors, though historical base rates favor poll-leading parties in state elections.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volumen
$686,110Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 92% to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads 35-40% to CDU's 25-30% amid CDU leadership transition from Reiner Haseloff to Sven Schulze in January. Voter dissatisfaction with immigration, economy, and federal coalition dynamics has sustained AfD's East German dominance, widening the gap in April polls like Spiegel's (AfD 39%, CDU 27%). CDU's 8% odds stem from incumbency but trail significantly; challenges could arise from AfD scandals, CDU surge via anti-AfD mobilization, or polling errors, though historical base rates favor poll-leading parties in state elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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