Official Met Office data from Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, records just 4.6 mm of total precipitation for April 2026 in London—well below the 20 mm threshold and tying for the third-driest April on record over nearly 80 years. Persistent high-pressure systems after a wet winter suppressed frontal rainfall, with southeast England receiving only 24% of average totals by mid-month and negligible accumulations thereafter, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries. Trader consensus reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, implying near-certainty for under 20 mm. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from unverified gauge discrepancies, though model reanalyses and satellite corroboration reinforce the dry outcome. Final monthly summary expected soon from the Met Office.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Londres en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Londres en abril?
<20mm 99.0%
30-40mm <1%
60-70mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$21,957 Vol.
$21,957 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<20mm
99%
20-30mm
<1%
30-40mm
1%
40-50mm
<1%
50-60mm
<1%
60-70mm
<1%
70mm+
<1%
<20mm 99.0%
30-40mm <1%
60-70mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$21,957 Vol.
$21,957 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<20mm
$6,087 Vol.
99%
20-30mm
$2,458 Vol.
<1%
30-40mm
$2,304 Vol.
1%
40-50mm
$3,149 Vol.
<1%
50-60mm
$3,694 Vol.
<1%
60-70mm
$2,025 Vol.
<1%
70mm+
$2,238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office data from Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, records just 4.6 mm of total precipitation for April 2026 in London—well below the 20 mm threshold and tying for the third-driest April on record over nearly 80 years. Persistent high-pressure systems after a wet winter suppressed frontal rainfall, with southeast England receiving only 24% of average totals by mid-month and negligible accumulations thereafter, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries. Trader consensus reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, implying near-certainty for under 20 mm. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from unverified gauge discrepancies, though model reanalyses and satellite corroboration reinforce the dry outcome. Final monthly summary expected soon from the Met Office.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$21,957Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office data from Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, records just 4.6 mm of total precipitation for April 2026 in London—well below the 20 mm threshold and tying for the third-driest April on record over nearly 80 years. Persistent high-pressure systems after a wet winter suppressed frontal rainfall, with southeast England receiving only 24% of average totals by mid-month and negligible accumulations thereafter, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries. Trader consensus reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, implying near-certainty for under 20 mm. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from unverified gauge discrepancies, though model reanalyses and satellite corroboration reinforce the dry outcome. Final monthly summary expected soon from the Met Office.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,957Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office data from Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, records just 4.6 mm of total precipitation for April 2026 in London—well below the 20 mm threshold and tying for the third-driest April on record over nearly 80 years. Persistent high-pressure systems after a wet winter suppressed frontal rainfall, with southeast England receiving only 24% of average totals by mid-month and negligible accumulations thereafter, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries. Trader consensus reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, implying near-certainty for under 20 mm. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from unverified gauge discrepancies, though model reanalyses and satellite corroboration reinforce the dry outcome. Final monthly summary expected soon from the Met Office.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes