Keiko Fujimori's commanding 17% first-round lead on April 12, driven by strong urban support in Lima and conservative strongholds, positions her as the trader consensus favorite at 64.5% to win the June 7 runoff, reflecting expectations of consolidating center-right votes from candidates like Rafael López Aliaga. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surprise 12% surge via rural turnout secured second place over López Aliaga amid fraud disputes and slow counts nearing 97%, but his 32.5% implied probability underscores leftist challenges from Peru's instability under prior administrations. Recent Ipsos polls show a deadlocked matchup at 38% apiece, with endorsements and turnout pivotal ahead of the runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.5%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.4%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,786,449 Vol.
$48,786,449 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Keiko Fujimori
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
32%
Rafael López Aliaga
2%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.5%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.4%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,786,449 Vol.
$48,786,449 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Keiko Fujimori
$5,745,855 Vol.
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$12,179,601 Vol.
32%
Rafael López Aliaga
$10,963,756 Vol.
2%
Jorge Nieto
$5,389,535 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$2,098,215 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$641,146 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$251,152 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$134,601 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$243,856 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$322,157 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$203,926 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$368,058 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$140,934 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$159,443 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$469,750 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$435,616 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$2,139,350 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$275,918 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$4,066,753 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$838,530 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$220,082 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$797,685 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$700,674 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's commanding 17% first-round lead on April 12, driven by strong urban support in Lima and conservative strongholds, positions her as the trader consensus favorite at 64.5% to win the June 7 runoff, reflecting expectations of consolidating center-right votes from candidates like Rafael López Aliaga. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surprise 12% surge via rural turnout secured second place over López Aliaga amid fraud disputes and slow counts nearing 97%, but his 32.5% implied probability underscores leftist challenges from Peru's instability under prior administrations. Recent Ipsos polls show a deadlocked matchup at 38% apiece, with endorsements and turnout pivotal ahead of the runoff.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volumen
$48,786,449Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori's commanding 17% first-round lead on April 12, driven by strong urban support in Lima and conservative strongholds, positions her as the trader consensus favorite at 64.5% to win the June 7 runoff, reflecting expectations of consolidating center-right votes from candidates like Rafael López Aliaga. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surprise 12% surge via rural turnout secured second place over López Aliaga amid fraud disputes and slow counts nearing 97%, but his 32.5% implied probability underscores leftist challenges from Peru's instability under prior administrations. Recent Ipsos polls show a deadlocked matchup at 38% apiece, with endorsements and turnout pivotal ahead of the runoff.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$48,786,449Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori's commanding 17% first-round lead on April 12, driven by strong urban support in Lima and conservative strongholds, positions her as the trader consensus favorite at 64.5% to win the June 7 runoff, reflecting expectations of consolidating center-right votes from candidates like Rafael López Aliaga. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surprise 12% surge via rural turnout secured second place over López Aliaga amid fraud disputes and slow counts nearing 97%, but his 32.5% implied probability underscores leftist challenges from Peru's instability under prior administrations. Recent Ipsos polls show a deadlocked matchup at 38% apiece, with endorsements and turnout pivotal ahead of the runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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