Official tallies from Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), advancing past 93% of actas as of late April, show Keiko Fujimori securing first place in the April 12 first-round presidential election with roughly 17% of valid votes, outpacing second-place Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12% by a margin exceeding 5 percentage points—a gap that has stabilized amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Exit polls from Ipsos and Datum accurately presaged Fujimori's urban strength in Lima and abroad, while Sánchez overtook Rafael López Aliaga in late-counted rural and southern precincts. Logistical delays extended the count into a third day, fueling frustration but not altering the lead. With results due by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff, remaining ballots from left-leaning areas represent the primary risk to confirming Fujimori's margin above 5%, though trader consensus reflects low uncertainty given the consistency of trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Perú: margen de victoria
Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales en Perú: margen de victoria
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 91.5%
Keiko Fujimori <5% 8.8%
Otro <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ <1%
$507,869 Vol.
$507,869 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
<1%
Alfonso López Chau 5%+
<1%
Alfonso López Chau <5%
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
92%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
9%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Otro
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 91.5%
Keiko Fujimori <5% 8.8%
Otro <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ <1%
$507,869 Vol.
$507,869 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
$10,673 Vol.
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
$13,439 Vol.
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
$9,372 Vol.
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
$21,353 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau 5%+
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau <5%
$6,302 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
$151,738 Vol.
92%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
$200,799 Vol.
9%
Jorge Nieto
$16,948 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$21,830 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,675 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$6,098 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$37,422 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Official tallies from Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), advancing past 93% of actas as of late April, show Keiko Fujimori securing first place in the April 12 first-round presidential election with roughly 17% of valid votes, outpacing second-place Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12% by a margin exceeding 5 percentage points—a gap that has stabilized amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Exit polls from Ipsos and Datum accurately presaged Fujimori's urban strength in Lima and abroad, while Sánchez overtook Rafael López Aliaga in late-counted rural and southern precincts. Logistical delays extended the count into a third day, fueling frustration but not altering the lead. With results due by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff, remaining ballots from left-leaning areas represent the primary risk to confirming Fujimori's margin above 5%, though trader consensus reflects low uncertainty given the consistency of trends.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Volumen
$507,869Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Official tallies from Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), advancing past 93% of actas as of late April, show Keiko Fujimori securing first place in the April 12 first-round presidential election with roughly 17% of valid votes, outpacing second-place Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12% by a margin exceeding 5 percentage points—a gap that has stabilized amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Exit polls from Ipsos and Datum accurately presaged Fujimori's urban strength in Lima and abroad, while Sánchez overtook Rafael López Aliaga in late-counted rural and southern precincts. Logistical delays extended the count into a third day, fueling frustration but not altering the lead. With results due by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff, remaining ballots from left-leaning areas represent the primary risk to confirming Fujimori's margin above 5%, though trader consensus reflects low uncertainty given the consistency of trends.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$507,869Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official tallies from Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE), advancing past 93% of actas as of late April, show Keiko Fujimori securing first place in the April 12 first-round presidential election with roughly 17% of valid votes, outpacing second-place Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 12% by a margin exceeding 5 percentage points—a gap that has stabilized amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Exit polls from Ipsos and Datum accurately presaged Fujimori's urban strength in Lima and abroad, while Sánchez overtook Rafael López Aliaga in late-counted rural and southern precincts. Logistical delays extended the count into a third day, fueling frustration but not altering the lead. With results due by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff, remaining ballots from left-leaning areas represent the primary risk to confirming Fujimori's margin above 5%, though trader consensus reflects low uncertainty given the consistency of trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes