Recent polling in California's top-two gubernatorial primary, set for June 2, 2026, shows Republican Steve Hilton leading at 17% in the Emerson College survey (April 14-15), followed closely by fellow Republican Chad Bianco and Democrat Tom Steyer at 14% each, with Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter at 10%. Eric Swalwell's mid-April exit consolidated Democratic support behind Becerra, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton split GOP votes at the April convention, preventing a clear Republican sweep. Trader consensus prices Dem-Rep advancement at 75%, reflecting fragmented Democratic turnout likely securing second place ahead of Bianco, amid 23% undecideds and recent debates highlighting economic concerns driving Republican strength but not a lockout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDem-Rep 75%
Dem-Dem 16%
Rep-Rep 5.5%
$70,499 Vol.
$70,499 Vol.

Dem-Rep
75%

Dem-Dem
16%

Rep-Rep
5%
Dem-Rep 75%
Dem-Dem 16%
Rep-Rep 5.5%
$70,499 Vol.
$70,499 Vol.

Dem-Rep
75%

Dem-Dem
16%

Rep-Rep
5%
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in California's top-two gubernatorial primary, set for June 2, 2026, shows Republican Steve Hilton leading at 17% in the Emerson College survey (April 14-15), followed closely by fellow Republican Chad Bianco and Democrat Tom Steyer at 14% each, with Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter at 10%. Eric Swalwell's mid-April exit consolidated Democratic support behind Becerra, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton split GOP votes at the April convention, preventing a clear Republican sweep. Trader consensus prices Dem-Rep advancement at 75%, reflecting fragmented Democratic turnout likely securing second place ahead of Bianco, amid 23% undecideds and recent debates highlighting economic concerns driving Republican strength but not a lockout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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