Trader consensus prices PPP winning 2 or 3 National Assembly seats in the June 3 by-elections at roughly even odds, reflecting the party's persistent internal nomination turmoil, candidate shortages, and approval ratings languishing near 17%, which limit upside in a field of up to 14 contested seats alongside local elections. Recent advancements, including the PPP's slate finalization with figures like Lee Jin-suk and pro-Yoon applicants, have steadied some races, while a Democratic Party candidate's viral Busan hand-wiping gaffe has sparked conservative backlash in battlegrounds like Busan Buk Gap and Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek. Polls favor the ruling Democratic Party in strongholds such as Incheon Yeonsu Gap, but candidate unification, local turnout spillover, or fresh scandals could tip the balance toward separation before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado# de escaños ganados por PPP en las elecciones parciales de Corea del Sur?
# de escaños ganados por PPP en las elecciones parciales de Corea del Sur?
3 42%
2 41%
1 11.7%
4 7.8%
$30,738 Vol.
$30,738 Vol.
0
1%
1
12%
2
41%
3
42%
4
8%
5
1%
6+
<1%
3 42%
2 41%
1 11.7%
4 7.8%
$30,738 Vol.
$30,738 Vol.
0
1%
1
12%
2
41%
3
42%
4
8%
5
1%
6+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices PPP winning 2 or 3 National Assembly seats in the June 3 by-elections at roughly even odds, reflecting the party's persistent internal nomination turmoil, candidate shortages, and approval ratings languishing near 17%, which limit upside in a field of up to 14 contested seats alongside local elections. Recent advancements, including the PPP's slate finalization with figures like Lee Jin-suk and pro-Yoon applicants, have steadied some races, while a Democratic Party candidate's viral Busan hand-wiping gaffe has sparked conservative backlash in battlegrounds like Busan Buk Gap and Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek. Polls favor the ruling Democratic Party in strongholds such as Incheon Yeonsu Gap, but candidate unification, local turnout spillover, or fresh scandals could tip the balance toward separation before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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