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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01

Hollie Noveletsky 52%

Anthony DiLorenzo 44%

Elizabeth Girard 22.1%

Melissa Bailey 7%

Polymarket

$38,414 Vol.

Hollie Noveletsky 52%

Anthony DiLorenzo 44%

Elizabeth Girard 22.1%

Melissa Bailey 7%

Polymarket

$38,414 Vol.

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,414 Vol.

52%

Anthony DiLorenzo

$1,135 Vol.

40%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,341 Vol.

22%

Melissa Bailey

$843 Vol.

7%

Brian Cole

$680 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors Hollie Noveletsky at 53% implied probability in the crowded Republican primary for New Hampshire's open 1st Congressional District seat, driven by her March ad attacking Anthony DiLorenzo's immigration positions and April announcement of strong first-quarter fundraising, positioning her as the party-insider frontrunner amid no public polls. Elizabeth Girard's 43.5% and DiLorenzo's 39.5% reflect persistent support for her early Trump-aligned momentum despite her January campaign suspension and his self-funding potential via business loans, keeping the multi-candidate field tight with vote-splitting risks. Key developments like major endorsements, internal polling, or debates could create separation before the June 12 filing deadline and September 8 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$38,414
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus slightly favors Hollie Noveletsky at 53% implied probability in the crowded Republican primary for New Hampshire's open 1st Congressional District seat, driven by her March ad attacking Anthony DiLorenzo's immigration positions and April announcement of strong first-quarter fundraising, positioning her as the party-insider frontrunner amid no public polls. Elizabeth Girard's 43.5% and DiLorenzo's 39.5% reflect persistent support for her early Trump-aligned momentum despite her January campaign suspension and his self-funding potential via business loans, keeping the multi-candidate field tight with vote-splitting risks. Key developments like major endorsements, internal polling, or debates could create separation before the June 12 filing deadline and September 8 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$38,414
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hollie Noveletsky" con 52%, seguido de "Anthony DiLorenzo" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" ha generado $38.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" es "Hollie Noveletsky" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Anthony DiLorenzo" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.