Trader consensus favors Magdalena Andersson at 61.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, driven by consistent April polls showing Social Democrats leading at 32-34%, ahead of Moderates (18-19%) and Sweden Democrats (13-20%). This positions the Red-Green bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens) competitively against the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, with Sweden Democrat support), with seat projections suggesting a potential left-leaning majority. Ulf Kristersson trails at 35% due to his current role and right-bloc viability, bolstered by his April 1 announcement to form a majority government with Sweden Democrats if victorious. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though polls remain volatile ahead of coalition negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPróximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Magdalena Andersson 62%
Ulf Kristersson 35%
Jimmie Åkesson 3.0%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,877,313 Vol.
$1,877,313 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
62%

Ulf Kristersson
35%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Ebba Busch
1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 62%
Ulf Kristersson 35%
Jimmie Åkesson 3.0%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,877,313 Vol.
$1,877,313 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
62%

Ulf Kristersson
35%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Ebba Busch
1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Magdalena Andersson at 61.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, driven by consistent April polls showing Social Democrats leading at 32-34%, ahead of Moderates (18-19%) and Sweden Democrats (13-20%). This positions the Red-Green bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens) competitively against the incumbent Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, with Sweden Democrat support), with seat projections suggesting a potential left-leaning majority. Ulf Kristersson trails at 35% due to his current role and right-bloc viability, bolstered by his April 1 announcement to form a majority government with Sweden Democrats if victorious. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though polls remain volatile ahead of coalition negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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