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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia

Janez Janša 91.3%

Jernej Vrtovec 3.6%

Robert Golob 2.5%

Anže Logar 2.3%

Polymarket

$2,916,342 Vol.

Janez Janša 91.3%

Jernej Vrtovec 3.6%

Robert Golob 2.5%

Anže Logar 2.3%

Polymarket

$2,916,342 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$730,918 Vol.

91%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$191,551 Vol.

4%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$649,604 Vol.

2%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$982,598 Vol.

2%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,224 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,146 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$12,606 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections, where Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality of 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, the incumbent prime minister conceded failure on April 20 to form a coalition despite outreach to multiple parties, shifting momentum to opposition leader Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party with 28 seats. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to nominate a prime minister-designate on April 25, directing lawmakers to propose a candidate able to secure an absolute majority of 46 votes within 14 days amid ongoing coalition negotiations. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Janša reflects his three prior terms as premier, reported behind-the-scenes alliances with center-right blocs like New Slovenia (NSi), and skin-in-the-game positioning over alternatives like Jernej Vrtovec; realistic challenges include deadlock triggering snap elections or a rival securing the threshold.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,916,342
Fecha de finalización
22 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections, where Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality of 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, the incumbent prime minister conceded failure on April 20 to form a coalition despite outreach to multiple parties, shifting momentum to opposition leader Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party with 28 seats. President Nataša Pirc Musar declined to nominate a prime minister-designate on April 25, directing lawmakers to propose a candidate able to secure an absolute majority of 46 votes within 14 days amid ongoing coalition negotiations. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Janša reflects his three prior terms as premier, reported behind-the-scenes alliances with center-right blocs like New Slovenia (NSi), and skin-in-the-game positioning over alternatives like Jernej Vrtovec; realistic challenges include deadlock triggering snap elections or a rival securing the threshold.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,916,342
Fecha de finalización
22 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Janez Janša" con 91%, seguido de "Jernej Vrtovec" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" ha generado $2.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" es "Janez Janša" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jernej Vrtovec" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.