Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 96% trader consensus in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, driven by his unchallenged incumbency advantage after three terms and a February filing deadline that drew only seven low-profile challengers, including Asha Coates-Hamlet and perennial candidates like Douglas Davis and Sheila Montague. Recent momentum includes Baraka's April 22 announcement of the youth-led Gen Green sustainability initiative and a strong April 21 school board win for his aligned slate, reinforcing voter loyalty amid no credible opposition or scandals. With early voting underway, upset scenarios remain slim—limited to a late-breaking scandal, health event, or anomalous turnout surge for fragmented challengers—but underscore the race's low volatility ahead of election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones a la alcaldía de Newark
Elecciones a la alcaldía de Newark
Ras Baraka 96.8%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%
Louis Shockley <1%
Sheila Montague <1%
$19,540 Vol.
$19,540 Vol.
Ras Baraka
97%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Louis Shockley
1%
Sheila Montague
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Nasheedah Singleton
<1%
Douglas Davis
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Ras Baraka 96.8%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%
Louis Shockley <1%
Sheila Montague <1%
$19,540 Vol.
$19,540 Vol.
Ras Baraka
97%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
1%
Louis Shockley
1%
Sheila Montague
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Nasheedah Singleton
<1%
Douglas Davis
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 96% trader consensus in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, driven by his unchallenged incumbency advantage after three terms and a February filing deadline that drew only seven low-profile challengers, including Asha Coates-Hamlet and perennial candidates like Douglas Davis and Sheila Montague. Recent momentum includes Baraka's April 22 announcement of the youth-led Gen Green sustainability initiative and a strong April 21 school board win for his aligned slate, reinforcing voter loyalty amid no credible opposition or scandals. With early voting underway, upset scenarios remain slim—limited to a late-breaking scandal, health event, or anomalous turnout surge for fragmented challengers—but underscore the race's low volatility ahead of election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes