Montana's solidly Republican electorate and unified party consolidation behind nominee Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines' late March withdrawal and endorsement of the former U.S. attorney—who also secured Donald Trump's backing—underpin the Republican outcome's 75% trader consensus. Alme secured the June 2 primary with roughly 77% of the vote in an open-seat contest. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president with cross-aisle name recognition and fundraising strength, draws the 20% independent support amid limited polling showing him competitive in head-to-head matchups. The Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead faces steep structural barriers in the state following her June primary victory, reflected in minimal 2% pricing. Upcoming general election developments through November could still shift positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Montana
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Montana
Republicano 75%
Independiente 27.5%
Demócrata 1.8%
$78,584 Vol.
$78,584 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
75%
Independiente
27%
Demócrata
2%
Republicano 75%
Independiente 27.5%
Demócrata 1.8%
$78,584 Vol.
$78,584 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$39,709 Vol.
75%
Independiente
$2,460 Vol.
27%
Demócrata
$36,722 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's solidly Republican electorate and unified party consolidation behind nominee Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines' late March withdrawal and endorsement of the former U.S. attorney—who also secured Donald Trump's backing—underpin the Republican outcome's 75% trader consensus. Alme secured the June 2 primary with roughly 77% of the vote in an open-seat contest. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president with cross-aisle name recognition and fundraising strength, draws the 20% independent support amid limited polling showing him competitive in head-to-head matchups. The Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead faces steep structural barriers in the state following her June primary victory, reflected in minimal 2% pricing. Upcoming general election developments through November could still shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$78,584Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's solidly Republican electorate and unified party consolidation behind nominee Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines' late March withdrawal and endorsement of the former U.S. attorney—who also secured Donald Trump's backing—underpin the Republican outcome's 75% trader consensus. Alme secured the June 2 primary with roughly 77% of the vote in an open-seat contest. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president with cross-aisle name recognition and fundraising strength, draws the 20% independent support amid limited polling showing him competitive in head-to-head matchups. The Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead faces steep structural barriers in the state following her June primary victory, reflected in minimal 2% pricing. Upcoming general election developments through November could still shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$78,584Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's solidly Republican electorate and unified party consolidation behind nominee Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines' late March withdrawal and endorsement of the former U.S. attorney—who also secured Donald Trump's backing—underpin the Republican outcome's 75% trader consensus. Alme secured the June 2 primary with roughly 77% of the vote in an open-seat contest. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president with cross-aisle name recognition and fundraising strength, draws the 20% independent support amid limited polling showing him competitive in head-to-head matchups. The Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead faces steep structural barriers in the state following her June primary victory, reflected in minimal 2% pricing. Upcoming general election developments through November could still shift positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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