Michele Tafoya commands 76% implied probability as the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary frontrunner on August 11, driven by her unmatched Q1 fundraising haul of $2.2 million—more than the rest of the field combined—and $1.85 million cash on hand, enabling broad advertising reach. Polls since February consistently show her leading by 30 points among GOP voters, bolstered by her national profile as a former NFL sideline reporter and NRSC backing. Adam Schwarze's climb to 18% reflects recent momentum from April 26 polling gains to 14% and strong straw poll wins targeting the state convention endorsement, though Tafoya's resources maintain trader consensus dominance ahead of precinct caucuses and the open primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMichele Tafoya 76%
Adam Schwarze 17.8%
Royce White 3.0%
Jim Nash 1.4%
$81,468 Vol.
$81,468 Vol.
Michele Tafoya
76%
Adam Schwarze
18%
Royce White
3%
Jim Nash
1%
Mike Ruoho
1%
David Hann
1%
Julia Coleman
1%
Tom Weiler
1%
Christopher Brooks
1%
Alycia Gruenhagen
1%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Raymond Petersen
<1%
Michele Tafoya 76%
Adam Schwarze 17.8%
Royce White 3.0%
Jim Nash 1.4%
$81,468 Vol.
$81,468 Vol.
Michele Tafoya
76%
Adam Schwarze
18%
Royce White
3%
Jim Nash
1%
Mike Ruoho
1%
David Hann
1%
Julia Coleman
1%
Tom Weiler
1%
Christopher Brooks
1%
Alycia Gruenhagen
1%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Raymond Petersen
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michele Tafoya commands 76% implied probability as the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary frontrunner on August 11, driven by her unmatched Q1 fundraising haul of $2.2 million—more than the rest of the field combined—and $1.85 million cash on hand, enabling broad advertising reach. Polls since February consistently show her leading by 30 points among GOP voters, bolstered by her national profile as a former NFL sideline reporter and NRSC backing. Adam Schwarze's climb to 18% reflects recent momentum from April 26 polling gains to 14% and strong straw poll wins targeting the state convention endorsement, though Tafoya's resources maintain trader consensus dominance ahead of precinct caucuses and the open primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes