Trader consensus in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary favors Abdul El-Sayed at 50% implied probability, reflecting his recent polling gains—tying state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 24% in an April Emerson survey—and electrifying reception with standing ovations at the Michigan Democratic Party convention last week, boosting enthusiasm among younger voters and Arab American communities. McMorrow holds 34.5% amid leading Q1 fundraising with $2.96 million net raised, though yesterday's reports of her deleted tweets disparaging Michigan weather and Middle America as recently as 2017 have sparked backlash questioning her state ties. Rep. Haley Stevens trails at 15.2% despite a slim 25%-23% edge over El-Sayed in the latest Glengariff poll of likely voters, hampered by weaker fundraising; high undecideds (36%) and the August 4 primary leave room for shifts via endorsements or debates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed 50%
Mallory McMorrow 35%
Haley Stevens 15.3%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$515,194 Vol.
$515,194 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
50%
Mallory McMorrow
35%
Haley Stevens
15%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Abdul El-Sayed 50%
Mallory McMorrow 35%
Haley Stevens 15.3%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$515,194 Vol.
$515,194 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
50%
Mallory McMorrow
35%
Haley Stevens
15%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary favors Abdul El-Sayed at 50% implied probability, reflecting his recent polling gains—tying state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 24% in an April Emerson survey—and electrifying reception with standing ovations at the Michigan Democratic Party convention last week, boosting enthusiasm among younger voters and Arab American communities. McMorrow holds 34.5% amid leading Q1 fundraising with $2.96 million net raised, though yesterday's reports of her deleted tweets disparaging Michigan weather and Middle America as recently as 2017 have sparked backlash questioning her state ties. Rep. Haley Stevens trails at 15.2% despite a slim 25%-23% edge over El-Sayed in the latest Glengariff poll of likely voters, hampered by weaker fundraising; high undecideds (36%) and the August 4 primary leave room for shifts via endorsements or debates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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