Recent polls and first-quarter fundraising reports have tightened Michigan's Democratic Senate primary ahead of the August 4 contest, positioning Abdul El-Sayed as trader consensus favorite at 50% implied probability. An Emerson survey from April 11-13 showed El-Sayed and Mallory McMorrow tied at 24% among likely voters, with Haley Stevens at 13% and 36% undecided—highlighting El-Sayed's eight-point gain since January, driven by strong under-40 support. A Glengariff poll April 17-19 gave Stevens a slim 25%-23% edge over El-Sayed, McMorrow at 16%, with Stevens leading older and metro Detroit voters. McMorrow and El-Sayed outraised Stevens in Q1 small-dollar donations ($2.96M and $2.27M net vs. $1.86M), signaling progressive enthusiasm despite high undecideds that could shift with debates or endorsements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Michigan
Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Michigan
Abdul El-Sayed 50%
Mallory McMorrow 35%
Haley Stevens 15.2%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$515,194 Vol.
$515,194 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
50%
Mallory McMorrow
35%
Haley Stevens
15%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Abdul El-Sayed 50%
Mallory McMorrow 35%
Haley Stevens 15.2%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$515,194 Vol.
$515,194 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
50%
Mallory McMorrow
35%
Haley Stevens
15%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls and first-quarter fundraising reports have tightened Michigan's Democratic Senate primary ahead of the August 4 contest, positioning Abdul El-Sayed as trader consensus favorite at 50% implied probability. An Emerson survey from April 11-13 showed El-Sayed and Mallory McMorrow tied at 24% among likely voters, with Haley Stevens at 13% and 36% undecided—highlighting El-Sayed's eight-point gain since January, driven by strong under-40 support. A Glengariff poll April 17-19 gave Stevens a slim 25%-23% edge over El-Sayed, McMorrow at 16%, with Stevens leading older and metro Detroit voters. McMorrow and El-Sayed outraised Stevens in Q1 small-dollar donations ($2.96M and $2.27M net vs. $1.86M), signaling progressive enthusiasm despite high undecideds that could shift with debates or endorsements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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