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icon for ¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?

¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?

¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?

4% probabilidad
Polymarket

$49,267 Vol.

4% probabilidad
Polymarket

$49,267 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's right-wing coalition government has demonstrated unusual stability in Italy's often-fragile parliamentary system, driving trader consensus at 96% against her exit by June 30. Despite a March referendum defeat on judicial reform and a subsequent tourism minister resignation, Meloni reaffirmed on April 9 her commitment to govern through the full five-year mandate ending in 2027, ruling out reshuffles or new policy shifts. Recent tensions, including a suspended defense pact with Israel and economic pressures, have not fractured coalition partners or prompted a no-confidence vote. While scandals, major policy rifts, or a snap election call from President Mattarella could shift dynamics, no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$49,267
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's right-wing coalition government has demonstrated unusual stability in Italy's often-fragile parliamentary system, driving trader consensus at 96% against her exit by June 30. Despite a March referendum defeat on judicial reform and a subsequent tourism minister resignation, Meloni reaffirmed on April 9 her commitment to govern through the full five-year mandate ending in 2027, ruling out reshuffles or new policy shifts. Recent tensions, including a suspended defense pact with Israel and economic pressures, have not fractured coalition partners or prompted a no-confidence vote. While scandals, major policy rifts, or a snap election call from President Mattarella could shift dynamics, no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$49,267
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Meloni fuera como Primera Ministra de Italia antes del 30 de junio?" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 4¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $49.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Meloni fuera como Primera Ministra de Italia antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 4%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Meloni saldrá como primer ministro de Italia antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.