Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, with polls consistently showing the party leading by double digits—such as INSA's March survey (34% AfD vs. 26% SPD)—reflecting its stronghold in eastern Germany amid voter frustration over migration, economy, and federal policies. SPD trails as the main challenger despite incumbent Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig's efforts, while CDU, BSW, and others lag far behind. No new statewide Sonntagsfragen in the past 30 days, but recent mayor runoffs (late April) saw AfD underperform against established parties, stabilizing rather than eroding its lead. Internal AfD candidate disputes and SPD's Rheinland-Pfalz setback underscore competitive dynamics, though low odds on upsets signal trader confidence in the trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
AfD 89%
SPD 12%
CDU <1%
BSW <1%
$204,054 Vol.
$204,054 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
89%
SPD
12%
CDU
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FDP
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 89%
SPD 12%
CDU <1%
BSW <1%
$204,054 Vol.
$204,054 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
$6,572 Vol.
89%
SPD
$35,238 Vol.
12%
CDU
$26,938 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$10,724 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$7,502 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$46,507 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$51,247 Vol.
<1%
FW
$19,325 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, with polls consistently showing the party leading by double digits—such as INSA's March survey (34% AfD vs. 26% SPD)—reflecting its stronghold in eastern Germany amid voter frustration over migration, economy, and federal policies. SPD trails as the main challenger despite incumbent Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig's efforts, while CDU, BSW, and others lag far behind. No new statewide Sonntagsfragen in the past 30 days, but recent mayor runoffs (late April) saw AfD underperform against established parties, stabilizing rather than eroding its lead. Internal AfD candidate disputes and SPD's Rheinland-Pfalz setback underscore competitive dynamics, though low odds on upsets signal trader confidence in the trend.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$204,054Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, with polls consistently showing the party leading by double digits—such as INSA's March survey (34% AfD vs. 26% SPD)—reflecting its stronghold in eastern Germany amid voter frustration over migration, economy, and federal policies. SPD trails as the main challenger despite incumbent Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig's efforts, while CDU, BSW, and others lag far behind. No new statewide Sonntagsfragen in the past 30 days, but recent mayor runoffs (late April) saw AfD underperform against established parties, stabilizing rather than eroding its lead. Internal AfD candidate disputes and SPD's Rheinland-Pfalz setback underscore competitive dynamics, though low odds on upsets signal trader confidence in the trend.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$204,054Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20 Landtagswahl under proportional representation, with polls consistently showing the party leading by double digits—such as INSA's March survey (34% AfD vs. 26% SPD)—reflecting its stronghold in eastern Germany amid voter frustration over migration, economy, and federal policies. SPD trails as the main challenger despite incumbent Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig's efforts, while CDU, BSW, and others lag far behind. No new statewide Sonntagsfragen in the past 30 days, but recent mayor runoffs (late April) saw AfD underperform against established parties, stabilizing rather than eroding its lead. Internal AfD candidate disputes and SPD's Rheinland-Pfalz setback underscore competitive dynamics, though low odds on upsets signal trader confidence in the trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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