Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026, with 88.5% implied probability reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest INSA Sonntagsfrage from mid-March shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26%, CDU at 12%, and Die Linke at 10%, a surge from AfD's 24% in 2021 amid eastern Germany's protest voting trends on migration and economy. Late April saw SPD, Linke, and Grüne propose amending the state constitution to curb AfD's potential one-third blocking power over constitutional court judges—a move opposed by CDU—highlighting fears of AfD dominance but no poll shifts. While coalitions exclude AfD, its lead persists absent major scandals or incumbent rebound.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
Ganador de las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental
AfD 89%
SPD 12%
CDU <1%
BSW <1%
$202,361 Vol.
$202,361 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
89%
SPD
12%
CDU
1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FDP
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 89%
SPD 12%
CDU <1%
BSW <1%
$202,361 Vol.
$202,361 Vol.
20 sep 2026
AfD
$6,272 Vol.
89%
SPD
$35,115 Vol.
12%
CDU
$26,638 Vol.
1%
BSW
$10,601 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$7,379 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$46,207 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$51,124 Vol.
<1%
FW
$19,025 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026, with 88.5% implied probability reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest INSA Sonntagsfrage from mid-March shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26%, CDU at 12%, and Die Linke at 10%, a surge from AfD's 24% in 2021 amid eastern Germany's protest voting trends on migration and economy. Late April saw SPD, Linke, and Grüne propose amending the state constitution to curb AfD's potential one-third blocking power over constitutional court judges—a move opposed by CDU—highlighting fears of AfD dominance but no poll shifts. While coalitions exclude AfD, its lead persists absent major scandals or incumbent rebound.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$202,361Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026, with 88.5% implied probability reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest INSA Sonntagsfrage from mid-March shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26%, CDU at 12%, and Die Linke at 10%, a surge from AfD's 24% in 2021 amid eastern Germany's protest voting trends on migration and economy. Late April saw SPD, Linke, and Grüne propose amending the state constitution to curb AfD's potential one-third blocking power over constitutional court judges—a move opposed by CDU—highlighting fears of AfD dominance but no poll shifts. While coalitions exclude AfD, its lead persists absent major scandals or incumbent rebound.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$202,361Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD to secure the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026, with 88.5% implied probability reflecting consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls. The latest INSA Sonntagsfrage from mid-March shows AfD at 34%, ahead of incumbent SPD at 26%, CDU at 12%, and Die Linke at 10%, a surge from AfD's 24% in 2021 amid eastern Germany's protest voting trends on migration and economy. Late April saw SPD, Linke, and Grüne propose amending the state constitution to curb AfD's potential one-third blocking power over constitutional court judges—a move opposed by CDU—highlighting fears of AfD dominance but no poll shifts. While coalitions exclude AfD, its lead persists absent major scandals or incumbent rebound.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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