Trader consensus slightly favors "Down" at 51.5% for Liberal Party seat projections in 338Canada polls this week, reflecting a balance between sustained double-digit national leads and recent poll stability without upward momentum. The April 26 update projects Liberals at 217 seats (up from 174 on April 19), bolstered by by-election sweeps earlier in April that secured a House majority and consistent 45% vote shares in Nanos (April 24) and Abacus (April 19) polls, strongest in Ontario and Quebec battlegrounds. However, a minor Nanos dip from 46% to 45% and absence of fresh surveys this week fuel expectations of marginal regression or flat projections. Upcoming polls or regional shifts could tip odds, with Conservative gains in Prairie seats posing downside risk amid proportional representation dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLiberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?
Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?
Up
$50 Vol.
$50 Vol.
29 mar 2026
Up
$50 Vol.
$50 Vol.
29 mar 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.
Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.Trader consensus slightly favors "Down" at 51.5% for Liberal Party seat projections in 338Canada polls this week, reflecting a balance between sustained double-digit national leads and recent poll stability without upward momentum. The April 26 update projects Liberals at 217 seats (up from 174 on April 19), bolstered by by-election sweeps earlier in April that secured a House majority and consistent 45% vote shares in Nanos (April 24) and Abacus (April 19) polls, strongest in Ontario and Quebec battlegrounds. However, a minor Nanos dip from 46% to 45% and absence of fresh surveys this week fuel expectations of marginal regression or flat projections. Upcoming polls or regional shifts could tip odds, with Conservative gains in Prairie seats posing downside risk amid proportional representation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.
Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.
Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
29 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.
Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.Trader consensus slightly favors "Down" at 51.5% for Liberal Party seat projections in 338Canada polls this week, reflecting a balance between sustained double-digit national leads and recent poll stability without upward momentum. The April 26 update projects Liberals at 217 seats (up from 174 on April 19), bolstered by by-election sweeps earlier in April that secured a House majority and consistent 45% vote shares in Nanos (April 24) and Abacus (April 19) polls, strongest in Ontario and Quebec battlegrounds. However, a minor Nanos dip from 46% to 45% and absence of fresh surveys this week fuel expectations of marginal regression or flat projections. Upcoming polls or regional shifts could tip odds, with Conservative gains in Prairie seats posing downside risk amid proportional representation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.
Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.
Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
29 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus slightly favors "Down" at 51.5% for Liberal Party seat projections in 338Canada polls this week, reflecting a balance between sustained double-digit national leads and recent poll stability without upward momentum. The April 26 update projects Liberals at 217 seats (up from 174 on April 19), bolstered by by-election sweeps earlier in April that secured a House majority and consistent 45% vote shares in Nanos (April 24) and Abacus (April 19) polls, strongest in Ontario and Quebec battlegrounds. However, a minor Nanos dip from 46% to 45% and absence of fresh surveys this week fuel expectations of marginal regression or flat projections. Upcoming polls or regional shifts could tip odds, with Conservative gains in Prairie seats posing downside risk amid proportional representation dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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